Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2021-11-18
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2021-11-12:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
17985 |
6893 |
924 |
394 |
206 |
97 |
30 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
73 |
145 |
157 |
103 |
108 |
31 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
14 |
125 |
125 |
153 |
175 |
78 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
2 |
41 |
79 |
89 |
187 |
95 |
5 |
CDI |
0 |
2 |
15 |
48 |
77 |
192 |
244 |
39 |
VCDI |
0 |
1 |
3 |
16 |
64 |
395 |
4039 |
4710 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2021-11-16:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
16902 |
7102 |
1079 |
336 |
264 |
182 |
37 |
0 |
OW |
5 |
47 |
167 |
97 |
94 |
107 |
26 |
0 |
VODI |
1 |
11 |
125 |
122 |
104 |
124 |
88 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
1 |
67 |
67 |
99 |
166 |
177 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
2 |
39 |
44 |
81 |
371 |
339 |
23 |
VCDI |
0 |
3 |
11 |
43 |
47 |
270 |
4329 |
4960 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2021-11-18:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
16235 |
7734 |
843 |
467 |
203 |
103 |
66 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
74 |
132 |
137 |
88 |
84 |
32 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
47 |
96 |
117 |
141 |
126 |
83 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
26 |
36 |
68 |
109 |
114 |
166 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
20 |
32 |
83 |
96 |
257 |
300 |
17 |
VCDI |
0 |
5 |
35 |
68 |
109 |
509 |
5168 |
4133 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
16235 |
7738 |
872 |
492 |
209 |
107 |
69 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
73 |
104 |
113 |
83 |
75 |
22 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
44 |
96 |
124 |
150 |
138 |
78 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
27 |
36 |
67 |
104 |
114 |
155 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
18 |
28 |
72 |
77 |
228 |
275 |
16 |
VCDI |
0 |
6 |
38 |
72 |
123 |
531 |
5216 |
4134 |
|
Date: 2021-11-22:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
15690 |
7648 |
729 |
515 |
242 |
177 |
22 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
90 |
106 |
161 |
94 |
68 |
8 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
57 |
78 |
142 |
128 |
111 |
60 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
15 |
34 |
74 |
112 |
178 |
137 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
4 |
19 |
82 |
102 |
246 |
412 |
25 |
VCDI |
0 |
1 |
21 |
93 |
186 |
576 |
5505 |
4211 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
15690 |
7516 |
682 |
505 |
263 |
232 |
25 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
135 |
95 |
139 |
69 |
74 |
20 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
111 |
76 |
133 |
118 |
106 |
121 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
33 |
55 |
65 |
95 |
137 |
132 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
19 |
41 |
84 |
86 |
159 |
262 |
28 |
VCDI |
0 |
1 |
38 |
141 |
233 |
648 |
5584 |
4208 |
|
Date: 2021-11-24:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
15378 |
7636 |
857 |
379 |
119 |
103 |
92 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
70 |
132 |
154 |
90 |
53 |
18 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
32 |
83 |
116 |
120 |
129 |
50 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
10 |
26 |
86 |
89 |
146 |
101 |
3 |
CDI |
0 |
7 |
13 |
52 |
101 |
149 |
281 |
45 |
VCDI |
0 |
18 |
38 |
82 |
154 |
534 |
5915 |
4698 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
15378 |
7519 |
759 |
360 |
130 |
154 |
99 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
132 |
157 |
93 |
57 |
66 |
28 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
72 |
122 |
148 |
123 |
98 |
86 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
23 |
47 |
87 |
101 |
118 |
129 |
1 |
CDI |
0 |
11 |
22 |
73 |
87 |
137 |
275 |
30 |
VCDI |
0 |
16 |
42 |
108 |
175 |
541 |
5840 |
4715 |
|
Date: 2021-11-26:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
14721 |
7070 |
1180 |
563 |
235 |
252 |
112 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
45 |
122 |
131 |
91 |
132 |
39 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
17 |
66 |
78 |
99 |
158 |
117 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
3 |
41 |
35 |
74 |
119 |
203 |
3 |
CDI |
0 |
2 |
9 |
31 |
71 |
135 |
350 |
49 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
11 |
9 |
35 |
171 |
6045 |
5535 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
14721 |
6921 |
1056 |
534 |
234 |
280 |
134 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
158 |
140 |
95 |
65 |
119 |
52 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
42 |
129 |
100 |
81 |
144 |
204 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
13 |
68 |
49 |
74 |
75 |
223 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
3 |
25 |
52 |
82 |
111 |
427 |
10 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
11 |
17 |
69 |
238 |
5826 |
5577 |
|
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