Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2021-10-14
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2021-10-08:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
23843 |
6371 |
1070 |
208 |
201 |
123 |
2 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
14 |
94 |
65 |
48 |
108 |
7 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
0 |
42 |
40 |
35 |
82 |
35 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
5 |
12 |
21 |
65 |
49 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
19 |
47 |
110 |
157 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
190 |
2149 |
2923 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2021-10-12:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
23993 |
5731 |
822 |
418 |
224 |
61 |
5 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
3 |
41 |
51 |
106 |
72 |
6 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
1 |
12 |
35 |
111 |
94 |
28 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
10 |
12 |
75 |
101 |
63 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
14 |
39 |
145 |
272 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
26 |
114 |
260 |
2540 |
2670 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2021-10-14:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
23629 |
5756 |
1017 |
368 |
215 |
127 |
11 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
2 |
107 |
43 |
61 |
66 |
26 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
0 |
60 |
30 |
42 |
86 |
74 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
35 |
12 |
18 |
54 |
120 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
24 |
16 |
27 |
52 |
314 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
3 |
10 |
23 |
83 |
2793 |
2855 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
23629 |
5745 |
1018 |
369 |
223 |
145 |
29 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
13 |
91 |
37 |
51 |
59 |
33 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
0 |
74 |
36 |
42 |
74 |
68 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
28 |
12 |
18 |
50 |
118 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
27 |
13 |
23 |
56 |
316 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
8 |
12 |
29 |
84 |
2774 |
2855 |
|
Date: 2021-10-18:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
22703 |
6458 |
1116 |
267 |
131 |
37 |
5 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
24 |
92 |
74 |
73 |
50 |
15 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
1 |
39 |
72 |
73 |
75 |
41 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
13 |
25 |
46 |
85 |
83 |
2 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
18 |
30 |
92 |
294 |
28 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
6 |
20 |
38 |
107 |
2435 |
3489 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
22703 |
6406 |
1068 |
276 |
157 |
70 |
38 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
60 |
79 |
47 |
41 |
49 |
13 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
14 |
69 |
66 |
78 |
80 |
60 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
2 |
29 |
39 |
32 |
58 |
85 |
4 |
CDI |
0 |
1 |
12 |
20 |
32 |
58 |
141 |
17 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
11 |
28 |
51 |
131 |
2536 |
3498 |
|
Date: 2021-10-20:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
21239 |
7094 |
1230 |
553 |
196 |
102 |
1 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
17 |
144 |
83 |
66 |
82 |
10 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
0 |
56 |
65 |
80 |
92 |
30 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
13 |
45 |
41 |
101 |
91 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
3 |
11 |
28 |
109 |
292 |
69 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
36 |
38 |
95 |
2897 |
3150 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
21239 |
7051 |
1211 |
575 |
201 |
96 |
7 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
58 |
123 |
46 |
46 |
95 |
28 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
2 |
69 |
77 |
66 |
120 |
44 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
23 |
34 |
67 |
68 |
105 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
11 |
16 |
17 |
98 |
175 |
75 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
9 |
45 |
52 |
104 |
2962 |
3144 |
|
Date: 2021-10-22:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
21197 |
7052 |
964 |
693 |
132 |
36 |
3 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
74 |
128 |
157 |
118 |
59 |
12 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
9 |
63 |
78 |
72 |
105 |
18 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
2 |
27 |
64 |
60 |
88 |
41 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
18 |
35 |
44 |
104 |
170 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
8 |
16 |
55 |
133 |
2989 |
3335 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
21197 |
6991 |
1010 |
747 |
179 |
35 |
10 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
81 |
79 |
85 |
59 |
49 |
19 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
52 |
48 |
107 |
90 |
146 |
30 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
11 |
30 |
54 |
58 |
89 |
62 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
2 |
12 |
25 |
39 |
88 |
154 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
29 |
25 |
56 |
118 |
2958 |
3335 |
|
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