Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2021-06-10

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-06-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14256 5688 1717 1746 562 144 161 12
OW 0 0 42 333 481 139 90 0
VODI 0 0 9 225 425 325 289 2
ODI 0 0 5 111 265 418 884 1
CDI 0 0 5 116 177 574 2208 16
VCDI 0 0 0 17 28 65 3106 3517
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-06-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14679 5510 2159 1547 623 112 184 11
OW 0 0 124 301 305 107 129 4
VODI 0 0 57 178 328 301 302 27
ODI 0 0 16 59 172 563 887 32
CDI 0 0 49 97 165 461 1839 24
VCDI 0 0 7 31 73 69 3710 2917
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15021 5516 2083 1732 546 75 202 13
OW 0 0 50 358 305 122 165 2
VODI 0 0 35 165 293 282 369 26
ODI 0 0 16 47 143 465 924 26
CDI 0 0 24 81 171 442 1671 28
VCDI 0 0 0 33 47 104 3185 3392
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15021 5513 2080 1749 570 88 237 15
OW 0 3 53 327 286 125 158 4
VODI 0 0 35 184 302 289 395 27
ODI 0 0 16 43 133 470 1035 13
CDI 0 0 24 80 164 407 1426 38
VCDI 0 0 0 33 50 111 3265 3390

Date: 2021-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15541 5671 2162 1481 616 102 169 11
OW 0 7 47 300 223 107 81 0
VODI 0 0 21 206 385 330 170 2
ODI 0 0 14 105 257 480 691 1
CDI 0 0 1 55 251 432 1323 0
VCDI 0 0 0 45 59 236 3284 3293
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15541 5675 2166 1627 738 177 210 11
OW 0 3 35 228 203 187 140 0
VODI 0 0 29 183 291 294 299 2
ODI 0 0 14 69 237 371 610 1
CDI 0 0 1 38 253 411 1358 1
VCDI 0 0 0 47 69 247 3101 3292

Date: 2021-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15939 5938 1825 1176 793 272 234 11
OW 0 0 49 184 279 210 118 0
VODI 0 0 34 108 292 368 282 2
ODI 0 0 4 28 123 516 550 1
CDI 0 0 3 88 99 459 1358 3
VCDI 0 0 0 3 7 40 2401 4362
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15939 5907 1799 1244 900 383 296 11
OW 0 17 55 124 203 176 212 0
VODI 0 9 39 94 237 418 425 2
ODI 0 5 16 29 119 360 438 1
CDI 0 0 6 92 127 483 1299 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 7 45 2273 4365

Date: 2021-06-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15864 5933 2103 1455 642 251 253 11
OW 0 3 55 208 210 225 135 0
VODI 0 0 38 145 174 348 342 2
ODI 0 0 8 52 110 299 584 1
CDI 0 0 0 84 145 442 1388 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 27 182 3098 3329
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15864 5909 2048 1427 740 389 366 11
OW 0 15 68 168 133 199 269 0
VODI 0 10 47 161 169 313 433 2
ODI 0 2 33 72 63 219 423 1
CDI 0 0 8 107 158 459 1284 4
VCDI 0 0 0 22 45 168 3025 3325


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