Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2021-04-08

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2021-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2021-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12645 5874 838 742 133 44 6 0
OW 0 103 103 248 93 24 10 0
VODI 0 76 78 252 234 86 45 0
ODI 0 2 60 181 302 144 182 8
CDI 0 0 51 209 315 275 602 34
VCDI 0 0 44 237 586 1216 7994 4083
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12421 6120 1140 442 279 66 14 0
OW 0 106 191 177 121 54 25 0
VODI 0 25 160 335 149 115 91 0
ODI 0 2 67 298 166 143 162 0
CDI 0 1 24 204 217 291 597 6
VCDI 0 2 51 376 635 777 8140 3969
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12421 6119 1148 456 292 77 18 0
OW 0 110 170 188 118 48 21 0
VODI 0 23 169 320 152 111 105 0
ODI 0 1 65 292 152 139 162 0
CDI 0 1 30 195 198 282 575 4
VCDI 0 2 51 381 655 789 8148 3971

Date: 2021-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12896 6261 1395 436 184 81 36 0
OW 0 26 337 276 133 73 38 0
VODI 0 3 439 298 192 168 128 0
ODI 0 0 245 192 208 212 184 1
CDI 0 0 126 133 209 331 1224 10
VCDI 0 0 337 311 206 378 6551 3901
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12896 6037 1392 448 228 108 69 0
OW 0 127 383 162 95 69 52 0
VODI 0 85 306 276 135 134 101 0
ODI 0 39 164 160 150 154 168 1
CDI 0 2 181 165 184 251 842 14
VCDI 0 0 453 435 340 527 6929 3897

Date: 2021-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12683 6124 1385 669 308 109 41 0
OW 0 24 224 208 149 87 48 0
VODI 0 2 244 255 221 184 111 0
ODI 0 0 149 200 173 172 195 0
CDI 0 0 77 141 164 217 1059 17
VCDI 0 0 85 236 296 704 7052 4146
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12683 6067 1178 451 195 131 89 0
OW 0 71 298 179 112 83 72 0
VODI 0 12 328 327 184 123 103 0
ODI 0 0 148 245 182 138 116 0
CDI 0 0 74 199 209 169 727 7
VCDI 0 0 138 308 429 829 7399 4156

Date: 2021-04-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12924 5940 1264 600 294 100 51 0
OW 0 33 202 209 153 80 34 0
VODI 0 3 156 233 216 142 77 0
ODI 0 0 46 252 194 168 134 0
CDI 0 0 22 219 211 226 619 2
VCDI 0 0 20 217 324 1019 7609 4166
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12924 5853 1110 456 197 92 64 0
OW 0 72 209 158 106 64 47 0
VODI 0 32 197 222 203 113 82 0
ODI 0 17 99 255 222 169 186 4
CDI 0 2 45 225 167 218 475 11
VCDI 0 0 50 414 497 1079 7670 4153


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