Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2021-01-21
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2021-01-15:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
14010 |
6466 |
1140 |
399 |
362 |
273 |
2 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
23 |
162 |
228 |
149 |
177 |
8 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
7 |
93 |
329 |
205 |
279 |
40 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
3 |
44 |
253 |
241 |
368 |
116 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
29 |
118 |
199 |
469 |
607 |
34 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
8 |
73 |
148 |
383 |
5826 |
4888 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2021-01-19:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
13994 |
6379 |
1063 |
423 |
126 |
136 |
21 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
35 |
207 |
161 |
89 |
121 |
13 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
9 |
115 |
174 |
112 |
151 |
27 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
1 |
68 |
117 |
107 |
170 |
133 |
8 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
38 |
83 |
156 |
401 |
538 |
53 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
9 |
90 |
227 |
720 |
7687 |
4197 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2021-01-21:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
14155 |
6359 |
738 |
283 |
82 |
117 |
5 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
88 |
242 |
164 |
60 |
89 |
6 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
18 |
160 |
189 |
97 |
154 |
16 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
4 |
66 |
135 |
119 |
156 |
40 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
42 |
142 |
157 |
306 |
295 |
2 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
7 |
142 |
321 |
990 |
8911 |
3302 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
14155 |
6369 |
788 |
319 |
83 |
116 |
6 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
81 |
198 |
126 |
61 |
70 |
8 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
13 |
164 |
203 |
100 |
185 |
17 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
6 |
59 |
134 |
122 |
171 |
43 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
38 |
132 |
155 |
297 |
312 |
4 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
8 |
141 |
315 |
973 |
8887 |
3300 |
|
Date: 2021-01-25:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
14049 |
6079 |
714 |
428 |
100 |
41 |
6 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
25 |
104 |
179 |
80 |
66 |
25 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
4 |
69 |
197 |
131 |
125 |
76 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
19 |
105 |
155 |
202 |
144 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
55 |
160 |
408 |
294 |
18 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
7 |
68 |
212 |
1382 |
6936 |
5494 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
14049 |
5960 |
619 |
390 |
112 |
69 |
19 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
102 |
125 |
152 |
58 |
85 |
48 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
39 |
95 |
188 |
99 |
156 |
61 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
5 |
48 |
105 |
138 |
167 |
103 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
2 |
17 |
90 |
129 |
296 |
238 |
24 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
11 |
107 |
302 |
1451 |
7012 |
5488 |
|
Date: 2021-01-27:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
13609 |
6297 |
647 |
396 |
128 |
34 |
8 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
51 |
138 |
142 |
81 |
81 |
15 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
16 |
96 |
146 |
102 |
124 |
64 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
4 |
48 |
100 |
91 |
149 |
119 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
41 |
90 |
97 |
231 |
331 |
20 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
16 |
114 |
166 |
849 |
6743 |
6775 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
13609 |
6174 |
602 |
383 |
147 |
61 |
28 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
122 |
116 |
141 |
75 |
102 |
60 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
44 |
103 |
155 |
102 |
170 |
94 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
18 |
62 |
72 |
87 |
151 |
122 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
10 |
64 |
70 |
80 |
214 |
374 |
37 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
39 |
167 |
174 |
770 |
6602 |
6758 |
|
Date: 2021-01-29:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
13246 |
6053 |
801 |
385 |
211 |
80 |
29 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
79 |
157 |
113 |
92 |
72 |
43 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
44 |
131 |
105 |
120 |
114 |
68 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
16 |
64 |
73 |
101 |
173 |
84 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
14 |
44 |
77 |
82 |
310 |
264 |
6 |
VCDI |
0 |
1 |
73 |
90 |
124 |
586 |
8000 |
6034 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
13246 |
5974 |
781 |
392 |
235 |
138 |
61 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
107 |
130 |
96 |
88 |
105 |
52 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
69 |
126 |
91 |
111 |
172 |
118 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
31 |
74 |
72 |
85 |
190 |
132 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
21 |
77 |
87 |
83 |
247 |
302 |
12 |
VCDI |
0 |
5 |
82 |
105 |
128 |
483 |
7823 |
6028 |
|
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