Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2020-12-31

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2020-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2020-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14559 6641 1521 349 82 91 50 0
OW 0 37 231 195 112 77 37 0
VODI 0 16 135 212 172 168 37 0
ODI 0 14 52 107 154 218 81 0
CDI 0 5 40 73 145 312 476 14
VCDI 0 4 113 131 153 622 6111 4612
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15030 6717 836 237 67 108 21 0
OW 0 217 295 161 75 62 17 0
VODI 0 63 221 234 112 108 35 0
ODI 0 17 86 162 138 182 61 0
CDI 0 23 38 158 150 353 351 22
VCDI 0 113 72 165 262 813 6388 3989
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15030 6766 883 262 86 120 21 0
OW 0 173 284 167 78 59 23 0
VODI 0 66 194 233 112 107 29 0
ODI 0 22 87 147 120 174 61 0
CDI 0 22 29 152 145 358 318 16
VCDI 0 101 71 156 263 808 6421 3995

Date: 2021-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14921 6811 1179 357 107 48 35 0
OW 0 115 269 213 139 77 41 0
VODI 0 37 160 212 192 168 76 0
ODI 0 16 98 113 135 288 129 0
CDI 0 9 80 106 131 357 704 6
VCDI 0 18 126 161 204 435 5957 3929
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14921 6334 877 283 107 73 94 0
OW 0 341 245 139 120 76 67 0
VODI 0 190 290 171 144 170 87 0
ODI 0 55 124 143 115 245 129 0
CDI 0 33 116 143 125 274 572 6
VCDI 0 53 260 283 297 535 5993 3929

Date: 2021-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14814 6711 1178 310 103 61 21 0
OW 0 157 326 248 105 99 24 0
VODI 0 48 209 303 216 189 67 0
ODI 0 2 113 237 178 330 106 0
CDI 0 0 93 219 162 432 394 20
VCDI 0 0 96 189 279 814 5169 4137
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14814 6224 1031 334 120 109 69 0
OW 0 200 219 184 83 104 50 0
VODI 0 315 235 255 203 261 76 0
ODI 0 125 164 187 136 298 125 0
CDI 0 51 96 141 147 413 344 21
VCDI 0 3 270 405 354 740 5117 4136

Date: 2021-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14606 6710 855 553 111 18 3 0
OW 0 156 324 331 101 48 7 0
VODI 0 109 266 488 221 116 19 0
ODI 0 35 183 238 212 139 81 0
CDI 0 11 84 245 218 269 261 0
VCDI 0 46 74 215 313 640 6962 2891
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14606 6577 871 425 90 28 3 0
OW 0 178 280 267 78 31 3 0
VODI 0 112 240 526 184 74 16 0
ODI 0 67 177 327 220 180 79 0
CDI 0 65 77 212 223 256 323 2
VCDI 0 68 141 313 381 661 6909 2889


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