Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2020-05-14
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2020-05-08:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
12115 |
6089 |
1369 |
1253 |
613 |
171 |
51 |
0 |
OW |
11 |
0 |
116 |
177 |
257 |
141 |
80 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
0 |
95 |
187 |
281 |
374 |
181 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
33 |
101 |
210 |
519 |
374 |
2 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
19 |
61 |
122 |
402 |
1040 |
4 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
19 |
35 |
72 |
307 |
6910 |
4368 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2020-05-12:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
12144 |
6451 |
1029 |
1532 |
445 |
77 |
48 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
15 |
115 |
223 |
221 |
94 |
70 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
7 |
57 |
212 |
315 |
304 |
209 |
1 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
18 |
139 |
213 |
548 |
447 |
5 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
12 |
57 |
150 |
351 |
1835 |
6 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
5 |
34 |
97 |
417 |
5709 |
4547 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2020-05-14:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
12281 |
6560 |
1185 |
1262 |
756 |
199 |
91 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
3 |
111 |
345 |
304 |
169 |
122 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
0 |
61 |
209 |
368 |
376 |
276 |
5 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
40 |
114 |
250 |
365 |
383 |
7 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
39 |
82 |
231 |
572 |
944 |
4 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
18 |
81 |
159 |
369 |
5636 |
4182 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
12281 |
6560 |
1213 |
1371 |
841 |
217 |
99 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
3 |
79 |
226 |
252 |
176 |
106 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
0 |
64 |
221 |
317 |
312 |
248 |
4 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
43 |
109 |
238 |
391 |
402 |
8 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
35 |
83 |
261 |
573 |
947 |
3 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
20 |
83 |
159 |
381 |
5650 |
4183 |
|
Date: 2020-05-18:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
12771 |
6453 |
1987 |
1405 |
497 |
150 |
109 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
25 |
248 |
320 |
205 |
85 |
90 |
3 |
VODI |
0 |
0 |
123 |
222 |
388 |
255 |
149 |
10 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
47 |
91 |
275 |
482 |
425 |
3 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
52 |
100 |
186 |
266 |
1692 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
12 |
13 |
41 |
68 |
4722 |
4189 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
12771 |
6468 |
1963 |
1350 |
568 |
199 |
175 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
6 |
171 |
244 |
187 |
136 |
113 |
2 |
VODI |
0 |
4 |
149 |
238 |
228 |
332 |
280 |
10 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
82 |
129 |
270 |
249 |
405 |
4 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
61 |
142 |
240 |
252 |
1341 |
1 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
43 |
48 |
99 |
138 |
4873 |
4188 |
|
Date: 2020-05-20:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
13050 |
6531 |
1903 |
1439 |
674 |
254 |
137 |
1 |
OW |
0 |
19 |
160 |
243 |
285 |
173 |
94 |
5 |
VODI |
0 |
2 |
63 |
98 |
290 |
439 |
261 |
9 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
36 |
61 |
123 |
225 |
501 |
1 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
30 |
100 |
108 |
206 |
2291 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
15 |
27 |
4055 |
4248 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
13050 |
6529 |
1781 |
1227 |
662 |
311 |
205 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
11 |
149 |
231 |
145 |
214 |
147 |
5 |
VODI |
0 |
10 |
117 |
214 |
235 |
279 |
329 |
10 |
ODI |
0 |
2 |
78 |
89 |
252 |
214 |
475 |
1 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
55 |
146 |
143 |
203 |
2032 |
4 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
12 |
36 |
58 |
103 |
4151 |
4244 |
|
Date: 2020-05-22:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
13771 |
6424 |
1449 |
1890 |
594 |
166 |
132 |
1 |
OW |
0 |
5 |
73 |
286 |
317 |
164 |
107 |
11 |
VODI |
0 |
0 |
43 |
129 |
261 |
377 |
332 |
3 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
30 |
78 |
93 |
231 |
587 |
1 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
22 |
86 |
133 |
323 |
2325 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
7 |
6 |
17 |
199 |
3996 |
3490 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
13771 |
6403 |
1332 |
1635 |
610 |
295 |
217 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
21 |
98 |
290 |
177 |
215 |
166 |
10 |
VODI |
0 |
4 |
89 |
289 |
270 |
213 |
332 |
5 |
ODI |
0 |
1 |
45 |
134 |
171 |
159 |
505 |
1 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
58 |
120 |
166 |
395 |
2047 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
7 |
21 |
183 |
4212 |
3490 |
|
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