Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2019-12-26

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14358 6660 633 342 115 60 104 0
OW 0 99 160 131 46 32 44 0
VODI 0 40 133 184 106 73 53 0
ODI 0 14 60 94 54 76 104 27
CDI 0 8 20 70 85 141 294 86
VCDI 0 3 17 59 102 287 7012 6173
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-12-24:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2019-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2019-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13951 6272 1266 302 186 49 32 0
OW 0 7 210 155 80 30 37 0
VODI 0 5 127 180 132 103 38 0
ODI 0 2 39 100 106 115 105 9
CDI 0 2 24 47 119 166 394 47
VCDI 0 0 15 20 96 265 6309 7017
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13951 6242 1029 250 187 51 82 0
OW 0 35 283 119 64 40 33 0
VODI 0 7 193 173 106 66 28 0
ODI 0 2 96 117 88 83 83 8
CDI 0 2 37 61 92 145 326 66
VCDI 0 0 43 84 182 343 6363 6999

Date: 2020-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2020-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13892 6387 727 453 170 50 24 0
OW 0 47 133 161 108 53 49 0
VODI 0 16 76 174 101 82 69 0
ODI 0 8 24 147 107 100 79 37
CDI 0 7 6 118 113 141 302 81
VCDI 0 0 8 188 281 764 7566 5310
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13892 6311 650 457 220 91 72 0
OW 0 79 175 124 110 68 59 0
VODI 0 36 77 164 120 109 75 0
ODI 0 24 27 112 91 96 107 29
CDI 0 11 11 111 79 121 381 74
VCDI 0 4 34 273 260 705 7395 5325


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