Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2019-11-21
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2019-11-15:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15296 |
7151 |
1445 |
600 |
190 |
146 |
82 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
13 |
232 |
279 |
179 |
85 |
46 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
2 |
55 |
201 |
200 |
242 |
88 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
18 |
58 |
140 |
215 |
153 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
13 |
42 |
56 |
236 |
465 |
2 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
11 |
32 |
74 |
390 |
5899 |
3823 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2019-11-19:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15563 |
7302 |
1120 |
504 |
144 |
83 |
30 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
32 |
197 |
283 |
165 |
94 |
30 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
20 |
63 |
246 |
216 |
253 |
149 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
8 |
13 |
118 |
180 |
313 |
285 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
4 |
15 |
37 |
95 |
338 |
667 |
6 |
| VCDI |
0 |
2 |
7 |
28 |
48 |
509 |
6031 |
2961 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2019-11-21:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15343 |
7041 |
1267 |
395 |
230 |
165 |
45 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
22 |
262 |
173 |
156 |
126 |
24 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
11 |
66 |
216 |
278 |
326 |
74 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
4 |
16 |
118 |
188 |
380 |
193 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
2 |
16 |
46 |
110 |
502 |
556 |
5 |
| VCDI |
0 |
1 |
7 |
26 |
61 |
370 |
5960 |
3378 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15343 |
7045 |
1351 |
420 |
244 |
182 |
50 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
20 |
201 |
171 |
159 |
107 |
22 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
9 |
42 |
205 |
277 |
317 |
76 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
4 |
16 |
107 |
169 |
395 |
218 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
2 |
16 |
44 |
109 |
468 |
506 |
5 |
| VCDI |
0 |
1 |
8 |
27 |
65 |
400 |
5980 |
3378 |
|
Date: 2019-11-25:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14749 |
6962 |
959 |
576 |
367 |
265 |
70 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
30 |
108 |
174 |
101 |
136 |
46 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
3 |
84 |
154 |
152 |
241 |
155 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
9 |
64 |
122 |
312 |
301 |
1 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
5 |
32 |
57 |
363 |
1092 |
9 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
12 |
24 |
470 |
6375 |
3578 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14749 |
6960 |
972 |
615 |
402 |
338 |
79 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
22 |
86 |
145 |
74 |
138 |
41 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
13 |
71 |
118 |
135 |
231 |
178 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
23 |
73 |
97 |
224 |
289 |
1 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
9 |
30 |
58 |
244 |
672 |
3 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
5 |
31 |
57 |
612 |
6780 |
3584 |
|
Date: 2019-11-27:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14343 |
6819 |
1132 |
501 |
278 |
348 |
142 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
20 |
78 |
82 |
112 |
144 |
61 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
3 |
35 |
65 |
143 |
188 |
105 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
15 |
28 |
105 |
215 |
277 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
5 |
13 |
83 |
252 |
683 |
11 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
3 |
8 |
28 |
208 |
5568 |
6058 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14343 |
6836 |
1159 |
511 |
327 |
437 |
180 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
5 |
58 |
75 |
103 |
115 |
75 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
29 |
58 |
122 |
174 |
187 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
1 |
13 |
29 |
83 |
197 |
322 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
13 |
76 |
195 |
682 |
4 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
5 |
11 |
38 |
237 |
5390 |
6065 |
|
Date: 2019-11-29:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14102 |
6588 |
1286 |
552 |
208 |
317 |
205 |
4 |
| OW |
0 |
19 |
95 |
109 |
55 |
122 |
102 |
1 |
| VODI |
0 |
4 |
37 |
101 |
66 |
156 |
126 |
1 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
31 |
45 |
152 |
169 |
2 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
25 |
42 |
139 |
555 |
43 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
10 |
28 |
235 |
6179 |
6241 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14102 |
6603 |
1284 |
571 |
228 |
398 |
322 |
4 |
| OW |
0 |
7 |
79 |
85 |
51 |
124 |
74 |
1 |
| VODI |
0 |
1 |
41 |
74 |
46 |
149 |
152 |
1 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
13 |
35 |
30 |
125 |
267 |
1 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
7 |
41 |
45 |
130 |
597 |
28 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
22 |
44 |
195 |
5924 |
6257 |
|
Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/SIvalidation/SIwebPage.sh Fri Dec 6 03:21:51 UTC 2019 on arcmfcval