Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2019-10-17
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2019-10-11:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
23208 |
6176 |
769 |
417 |
161 |
29 |
1 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
74 |
105 |
91 |
80 |
47 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
8 |
46 |
82 |
97 |
91 |
14 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
5 |
51 |
150 |
122 |
38 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
36 |
116 |
218 |
378 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
27 |
369 |
3100 |
2051 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2019-10-15:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
22242 |
6359 |
671 |
287 |
267 |
164 |
35 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
57 |
167 |
77 |
65 |
75 |
35 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
5 |
43 |
63 |
57 |
138 |
73 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
7 |
18 |
43 |
77 |
138 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
28 |
172 |
389 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
154 |
3447 |
2798 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2019-10-17:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
21300 |
6647 |
826 |
372 |
259 |
144 |
104 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
111 |
159 |
100 |
94 |
54 |
53 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
2 |
68 |
67 |
117 |
101 |
113 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
10 |
21 |
28 |
88 |
176 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
3 |
5 |
13 |
84 |
339 |
8 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
15 |
169 |
2704 |
3804 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
21300 |
6708 |
871 |
391 |
272 |
153 |
122 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
48 |
114 |
70 |
71 |
46 |
50 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
4 |
69 |
72 |
126 |
94 |
98 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
9 |
24 |
27 |
89 |
163 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
8 |
14 |
80 |
317 |
20 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
16 |
178 |
2739 |
3792 |
|
Date: 2019-10-21:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
21120 |
6456 |
988 |
325 |
188 |
167 |
63 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
20 |
125 |
53 |
73 |
87 |
27 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
4 |
37 |
45 |
103 |
115 |
64 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
19 |
24 |
49 |
92 |
96 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
6 |
12 |
32 |
83 |
249 |
33 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
24 |
358 |
3155 |
3864 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
21120 |
6451 |
1015 |
309 |
172 |
195 |
85 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
26 |
98 |
59 |
58 |
51 |
41 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
3 |
25 |
45 |
107 |
117 |
75 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
22 |
25 |
57 |
75 |
78 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
11 |
10 |
33 |
72 |
169 |
35 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
14 |
42 |
392 |
3206 |
3862 |
|
Date: 2019-10-23:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
20895 |
6721 |
694 |
337 |
154 |
85 |
73 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
42 |
146 |
70 |
71 |
75 |
50 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
8 |
63 |
66 |
89 |
134 |
49 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
11 |
33 |
66 |
101 |
63 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
5 |
15 |
42 |
90 |
146 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
8 |
15 |
61 |
362 |
3740 |
3579 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
20895 |
6678 |
720 |
324 |
147 |
95 |
106 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
93 |
135 |
70 |
63 |
60 |
41 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
46 |
48 |
82 |
129 |
68 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
15 |
50 |
67 |
109 |
52 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
6 |
26 |
53 |
74 |
160 |
1 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
5 |
18 |
71 |
380 |
3694 |
3578 |
|
Date: 2019-10-25:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
20717 |
6711 |
569 |
368 |
143 |
65 |
38 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
89 |
138 |
149 |
57 |
33 |
37 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
23 |
75 |
139 |
98 |
127 |
32 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
3 |
10 |
78 |
64 |
106 |
40 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
1 |
10 |
33 |
75 |
118 |
127 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
3 |
6 |
18 |
87 |
612 |
4238 |
2922 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
20717 |
6512 |
584 |
402 |
154 |
68 |
55 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
290 |
139 |
115 |
59 |
36 |
30 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
15 |
58 |
143 |
90 |
144 |
37 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
8 |
6 |
61 |
69 |
104 |
44 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
3 |
9 |
37 |
58 |
127 |
111 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
2 |
12 |
27 |
94 |
582 |
4235 |
2922 |
|
Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/SIvalidation/SIwebPage.sh Fri Nov 1 03:23:02 UTC 2019 on arcmfcval