Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2019-06-06

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-05-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16204 5800 829 707 195 48 132 0
OW 0 17 176 477 199 78 134 0
VODI 0 7 70 204 188 250 281 1
ODI 0 4 27 67 135 263 740 3
CDI 0 6 24 104 125 564 2504 18
VCDI 0 0 0 3 15 288 3391 3881
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-06-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15763 5969 1488 657 325 132 150 0
OW 0 0 263 250 100 87 111 0
VODI 0 0 95 156 183 192 260 0
ODI 0 0 27 54 79 185 739 0
CDI 0 0 8 40 66 174 2983 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 3 35 3359 4221
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-06-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16114 6173 1146 791 257 161 126 0
OW 0 28 169 197 165 149 86 0
VODI 0 9 80 121 232 332 317 0
ODI 0 0 39 38 89 399 738 0
CDI 0 0 24 47 96 879 2153 1
VCDI 0 0 2 2 20 140 3030 3809
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16114 6186 1182 834 294 204 144 0
OW 0 16 137 174 170 136 101 0
VODI 0 8 72 99 187 331 317 0
ODI 0 0 39 37 88 441 822 0
CDI 0 0 28 50 94 801 1965 4
VCDI 0 0 2 2 26 147 3101 3806

Date: 2019-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2019-06-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15557 5838 1682 914 374 212 200 0
OW 0 0 103 235 188 172 157 0
VODI 0 0 31 188 215 238 447 0
ODI 0 0 11 56 146 302 988 0
CDI 0 0 3 38 83 200 2763 19
VCDI 0 0 0 3 11 37 2415 4333
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15557 5838 1696 1046 514 371 443 0
OW 0 0 63 161 162 196 396 0
VODI 0 0 34 140 162 262 994 0
ODI 0 0 24 46 85 139 1271 0
CDI 0 0 13 38 90 167 2182 12
VCDI 0 0 0 3 4 26 1684 4340

Date: 2019-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15231 5962 1632 1268 370 161 203 0
OW 0 0 92 315 230 167 152 0
VODI 0 0 36 231 254 349 439 0
ODI 0 0 7 53 120 450 1197 0
CDI 0 0 15 47 60 292 2357 5
VCDI 0 0 0 3 25 23 2459 3954
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15231 5962 1687 1459 556 399 504 0
OW 0 0 47 221 184 221 348 0
VODI 0 0 29 153 192 373 1030 0
ODI 0 0 10 35 47 175 962 0
CDI 0 0 9 46 45 256 2010 13
VCDI 0 0 0 3 35 18 1953 3946


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