Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2019-05-09

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13069 6514 906 709 203 271 147 0
OW 0 24 93 153 74 93 119 0
VODI 0 10 43 147 154 162 273 0
ODI 0 0 21 89 109 257 450 0
CDI 0 0 19 61 75 217 732 4
VCDI 0 0 34 65 76 479 7796 4511
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-05-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12465 6927 1163 952 348 165 48 0
OW 0 14 21 148 148 97 47 0
VODI 0 5 5 179 248 209 117 0
ODI 0 1 2 62 153 362 334 0
CDI 0 0 0 73 111 688 456 0
VCDI 0 0 0 94 115 1192 7093 4117
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-05-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12990 6685 1063 782 343 219 58 0
OW 0 9 31 135 153 175 61 0
VODI 0 3 3 137 128 274 229 0
ODI 0 0 5 55 82 232 533 0
CDI 0 0 1 70 92 264 863 5
VCDI 0 0 0 109 105 315 7369 4581
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12990 6683 1067 826 366 232 68 0
OW 0 11 26 115 129 177 59 0
VODI 0 3 6 124 129 253 258 0
ODI 0 0 3 49 78 237 516 0
CDI 0 0 1 66 90 264 829 8
VCDI 0 0 0 108 111 316 7383 4578

Date: 2019-05-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14850 5733 918 683 200 115 70 0
OW 3 2 64 194 134 64 60 4
VODI 0 0 18 172 211 129 129 8
ODI 0 0 8 56 159 216 355 11
CDI 0 0 1 46 127 633 1519 49
VCDI 0 0 0 22 59 600 6691 3846
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14847 5726 873 708 263 163 94 0
OW 6 9 78 151 120 84 79 2
VODI 0 0 44 161 160 179 382 12
ODI 0 0 9 57 110 186 364 9
CDI 0 0 5 61 150 442 1127 40
VCDI 0 0 0 35 87 703 6778 3855

Date: 2019-05-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14990 5679 928 971 190 77 72 0
OW 3 4 42 235 163 62 86 0
VODI 0 0 17 150 216 141 192 0
ODI 0 0 1 65 119 254 562 0
CDI 0 0 0 74 94 430 1550 0
VCDI 0 0 0 75 119 689 6798 3111
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14993 5669 894 905 220 109 118 0
OW 0 14 53 197 133 80 152 0
VODI 0 0 30 181 162 174 416 0
ODI 0 0 10 66 105 147 390 0
CDI 0 0 1 103 137 370 1338 0
VCDI 0 0 0 118 144 773 6846 3111

Date: 2019-05-17:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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