Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2019-04-18

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12162 6101 1344 746 491 167 100 0
OW 0 10 177 214 202 141 63 0
VODI 0 0 48 110 208 220 127 0
ODI 0 0 11 28 131 267 216 1
CDI 0 0 6 16 86 352 805 23
VCDI 0 0 4 11 33 443 7231 5864
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-04-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12873 6353 836 1049 248 98 59 0
OW 0 101 84 186 167 89 34 0
VODI 0 20 34 95 215 166 116 0
ODI 0 0 3 91 219 304 215 5
CDI 0 0 1 36 131 447 810 32
VCDI 0 0 10 8 45 461 7452 5066
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-04-18:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2019-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2019-04-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13652 6438 772 494 166 91 66 0
OW 0 64 91 276 111 64 52 0
VODI 0 24 19 145 211 213 151 0
ODI 0 1 4 35 116 269 376 3
CDI 0 4 2 20 59 285 928 10
VCDI 0 1 3 2 28 244 7284 5385
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13652 6468 793 615 226 143 125 0
OW 0 46 63 160 120 82 80 0
VODI 0 7 22 113 134 206 210 0
ODI 0 6 6 57 101 172 311 0
CDI 0 1 4 18 71 225 647 5
VCDI 0 4 3 9 39 338 7484 5393

Date: 2019-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13487 6597 812 557 234 96 77 0
OW 0 60 110 181 113 76 61 0
VODI 0 12 29 113 209 205 234 0
ODI 0 2 1 48 96 178 407 5
CDI 0 6 2 26 52 199 893 13
VCDI 0 0 1 8 31 191 7329 5408
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13487 6600 869 576 263 136 144 0
OW 0 47 44 142 89 69 84 0
VODI 0 18 33 118 139 148 237 0
ODI 0 4 6 59 123 142 287 3
CDI 0 8 2 29 78 156 616 16
VCDI 0 0 1 9 43 294 7633 5407


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