Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2019-04-11

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12575 6329 1178 565 375 144 80 0
OW 0 21 247 254 149 104 100 0
VODI 0 0 90 217 215 244 176 0
ODI 0 0 36 151 160 186 308 1
CDI 0 0 24 86 150 251 920 37
VCDI 0 0 26 57 136 227 7750 4590
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12300 6275 1154 877 406 140 76 0
OW 0 3 125 230 183 104 51 0
VODI 0 0 44 153 234 280 107 0
ODI 0 0 2 60 172 264 241 8
CDI 0 0 2 21 179 316 1198 29
VCDI 0 0 4 8 70 340 7306 5197
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12151 6102 1264 908 414 155 107 0
OW 0 0 145 272 198 155 70 0
VODI 0 0 29 119 194 248 145 0
ODI 0 0 2 39 124 275 221 5
CDI 0 0 0 13 105 350 854 23
VCDI 0 0 2 9 46 432 7448 5535
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12151 6101 1328 1001 467 196 123 0
OW 0 1 86 178 172 141 65 0
VODI 0 0 24 120 168 226 126 0
ODI 0 0 2 39 131 262 268 7
CDI 0 0 0 13 100 387 853 22
VCDI 0 0 2 9 43 403 7410 5534

Date: 2019-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12774 6246 833 966 263 89 69 0
OW 0 75 100 215 156 89 43 0
VODI 0 6 33 168 239 192 123 0
ODI 0 0 6 67 211 347 259 0
CDI 0 0 4 10 123 539 895 7
VCDI 0 0 9 3 14 632 8941 3413
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12774 6261 872 1101 354 160 111 0
OW 0 50 65 109 127 88 62 0
VODI 0 15 28 147 157 122 120 0
ODI 0 1 8 53 162 211 248 1
CDI 0 0 3 13 133 446 566 9
VCDI 0 0 9 6 73 861 9223 3410

Date: 2019-04-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12797 6177 1216 961 354 141 65 0
OW 0 39 136 127 186 144 48 0
VODI 0 0 17 80 173 270 149 0
ODI 0 0 4 38 128 249 307 1
CDI 0 0 1 19 108 320 932 30
VCDI 0 0 0 7 51 244 6573 6067
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12797 6185 1264 970 363 187 89 0
OW 0 30 75 92 132 110 74 0
VODI 0 1 31 94 158 193 162 0
ODI 0 0 3 40 136 206 279 3
CDI 0 0 1 23 108 342 897 25
VCDI 0 0 0 13 103 330 6573 6070

Date: 2019-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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