Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2018-12-20

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16215 7855 752 424 95 38 43 0
OW 0 156 109 159 93 48 21 0
VODI 0 96 93 143 150 131 40 0
ODI 0 27 50 104 108 215 90 0
CDI 0 0 39 94 111 329 482 9
VCDI 0 0 7 53 117 825 5013 3825
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16558 7256 1075 458 100 31 36 0
OW 1 94 175 190 63 25 14 0
VODI 0 57 171 228 105 76 43 0
ODI 0 8 44 142 140 101 101 0
CDI 0 2 27 98 121 149 258 22
VCDI 0 0 1 32 182 694 5797 3484
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16849 6993 941 365 56 14 60 0
OW 4 93 167 164 58 17 18 0
VODI 0 49 173 179 165 70 53 0
ODI 0 13 81 149 109 82 59 0
CDI 0 11 47 116 122 174 213 26
VCDI 0 2 24 86 150 403 5868 3936
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16853 7016 971 397 57 15 62 0
OW 0 74 157 144 61 9 13 0
VODI 0 46 172 180 163 75 46 0
ODI 0 14 69 147 113 94 65 0
CDI 0 9 46 106 120 163 246 22
VCDI 0 2 18 85 146 404 5839 3940

Date: 2018-12-24:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2018-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2018-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15593 7057 1175 597 155 97 45 0
OW 0 117 350 194 53 40 16 0
VODI 0 39 263 317 96 96 32 0
ODI 0 4 58 179 95 139 104 26
CDI 0 0 31 117 100 141 363 57
VCDI 0 0 27 71 129 295 5181 4710
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15593 6796 949 508 147 137 62 0
OW 0 192 254 146 34 45 22 0
VODI 0 184 341 214 75 62 48 0
ODI 0 25 182 209 93 77 93 19
CDI 0 16 92 187 103 135 260 40
VCDI 0 4 86 211 176 352 5256 4734


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