Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2018-11-22
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2018-11-16:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
19827 |
6324 |
631 |
227 |
136 |
44 |
60 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
178 |
214 |
167 |
109 |
80 |
12 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
19 |
126 |
176 |
149 |
254 |
27 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
48 |
81 |
86 |
262 |
79 |
6 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
23 |
32 |
50 |
281 |
258 |
31 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
12 |
47 |
64 |
313 |
3713 |
4013 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-11-20:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
19111 |
6354 |
693 |
414 |
137 |
44 |
112 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
116 |
149 |
169 |
144 |
70 |
11 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
27 |
44 |
142 |
184 |
260 |
35 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
14 |
53 |
106 |
232 |
104 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
41 |
59 |
201 |
350 |
21 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
15 |
56 |
319 |
4520 |
3849 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-11-22:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
17627 |
6953 |
772 |
460 |
202 |
103 |
51 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
62 |
140 |
162 |
154 |
69 |
12 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
9 |
65 |
171 |
136 |
235 |
68 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
32 |
119 |
111 |
237 |
129 |
1 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
68 |
91 |
241 |
395 |
46 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
75 |
95 |
334 |
4617 |
4114 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
17627 |
6938 |
768 |
466 |
213 |
114 |
50 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
71 |
127 |
141 |
136 |
57 |
17 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
15 |
83 |
183 |
142 |
213 |
64 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
29 |
119 |
118 |
212 |
121 |
2 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
66 |
82 |
263 |
319 |
47 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
80 |
98 |
360 |
4701 |
4112 |
|
Date: 2018-11-26:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
17094 |
6420 |
1072 |
615 |
213 |
256 |
30 |
0 |
| OW |
15 |
26 |
39 |
158 |
131 |
113 |
23 |
0 |
| VODI |
2 |
12 |
25 |
100 |
149 |
233 |
91 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
3 |
39 |
104 |
288 |
272 |
5 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
104 |
356 |
560 |
50 |
| VCDI |
0 |
581 |
15 |
25 |
49 |
399 |
6301 |
2184 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
17102 |
6352 |
1019 |
545 |
217 |
308 |
39 |
0 |
| OW |
8 |
62 |
70 |
141 |
84 |
112 |
18 |
0 |
| VODI |
1 |
37 |
35 |
136 |
106 |
157 |
85 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
7 |
9 |
48 |
100 |
170 |
208 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
6 |
40 |
107 |
243 |
473 |
49 |
| VCDI |
0 |
581 |
15 |
34 |
136 |
655 |
6454 |
2190 |
|
Date: 2018-11-28:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16006 |
7468 |
1149 |
594 |
202 |
103 |
39 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
77 |
72 |
149 |
117 |
79 |
22 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
35 |
58 |
105 |
112 |
119 |
58 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
12 |
28 |
59 |
95 |
129 |
115 |
2 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
14 |
35 |
67 |
256 |
425 |
64 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
37 |
358 |
6141 |
3738 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16006 |
7387 |
1098 |
578 |
211 |
137 |
53 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
109 |
100 |
117 |
84 |
60 |
27 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
58 |
70 |
118 |
107 |
107 |
87 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
27 |
30 |
62 |
110 |
115 |
134 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
7 |
16 |
50 |
64 |
199 |
469 |
16 |
| VCDI |
0 |
4 |
7 |
37 |
54 |
426 |
6030 |
3788 |
|
Date: 2018-11-30:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16234 |
7635 |
808 |
432 |
65 |
147 |
71 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
80 |
124 |
173 |
68 |
56 |
44 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
22 |
76 |
125 |
119 |
90 |
47 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
1 |
36 |
80 |
99 |
128 |
86 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
37 |
81 |
77 |
182 |
241 |
48 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
17 |
75 |
142 |
511 |
6188 |
3714 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16234 |
7596 |
781 |
438 |
103 |
179 |
164 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
78 |
110 |
130 |
67 |
69 |
55 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
37 |
75 |
141 |
81 |
164 |
87 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
12 |
45 |
102 |
102 |
115 |
123 |
8 |
| CDI |
0 |
12 |
35 |
65 |
76 |
149 |
303 |
78 |
| VCDI |
0 |
3 |
52 |
90 |
141 |
438 |
5945 |
3676 |
|
Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/SIvalidation/SIwebPage.sh Fri Dec 7 05:25:25 UTC 2018 on arcmfcval