Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2018-11-01
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2018-10-26:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
23680 |
6007 |
612 |
216 |
20 |
30 |
42 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
118 |
209 |
192 |
50 |
37 |
22 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
18 |
59 |
80 |
74 |
86 |
29 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
20 |
17 |
58 |
81 |
49 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
5 |
19 |
59 |
93 |
148 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
44 |
243 |
2689 |
3046 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-10-30:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
21416 |
7313 |
848 |
309 |
130 |
29 |
1 |
0 |
OW |
18 |
37 |
144 |
140 |
196 |
49 |
14 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
8 |
78 |
122 |
238 |
132 |
42 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
18 |
24 |
63 |
115 |
72 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
13 |
43 |
91 |
180 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
14 |
209 |
2974 |
3076 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-11-01:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
21647 |
6875 |
741 |
321 |
86 |
13 |
5 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
130 |
147 |
183 |
80 |
21 |
11 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
14 |
73 |
184 |
338 |
55 |
35 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
1 |
25 |
53 |
99 |
103 |
66 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
1 |
10 |
21 |
39 |
104 |
169 |
1 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
12 |
26 |
218 |
3344 |
2904 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
21647 |
6940 |
792 |
382 |
103 |
18 |
8 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
64 |
95 |
134 |
99 |
17 |
14 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
14 |
70 |
178 |
299 |
73 |
42 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
2 |
28 |
51 |
113 |
98 |
74 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
1 |
10 |
20 |
32 |
106 |
173 |
1 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
5 |
9 |
22 |
202 |
3319 |
2904 |
|
Date: 2018-11-05:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
21730 |
6140 |
929 |
384 |
103 |
55 |
22 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
76 |
108 |
155 |
129 |
74 |
16 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
10 |
104 |
169 |
221 |
204 |
28 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
15 |
37 |
135 |
308 |
122 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
7 |
13 |
65 |
129 |
241 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
3 |
8 |
37 |
284 |
3728 |
2370 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
21715 |
6096 |
869 |
375 |
111 |
81 |
25 |
0 |
OW |
15 |
76 |
141 |
164 |
152 |
101 |
14 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
44 |
95 |
109 |
170 |
167 |
54 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
10 |
35 |
58 |
106 |
230 |
90 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
18 |
37 |
85 |
121 |
165 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
8 |
23 |
66 |
354 |
3809 |
2370 |
|
Date: 2018-11-07:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
21297 |
6232 |
896 |
292 |
113 |
77 |
20 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
96 |
194 |
139 |
104 |
56 |
7 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
3 |
76 |
75 |
125 |
220 |
23 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
42 |
40 |
144 |
439 |
96 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
22 |
18 |
113 |
329 |
263 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
20 |
16 |
52 |
154 |
3024 |
3342 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
21268 |
6120 |
778 |
262 |
151 |
156 |
19 |
0 |
OW |
29 |
161 |
159 |
95 |
119 |
246 |
6 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
44 |
132 |
96 |
188 |
403 |
32 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
4 |
81 |
47 |
62 |
211 |
95 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
2 |
42 |
35 |
61 |
98 |
172 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
58 |
45 |
70 |
161 |
3109 |
3342 |
|
Date: 2018-11-09:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
20740 |
6510 |
654 |
296 |
81 |
21 |
44 |
0 |
OW |
7 |
146 |
238 |
204 |
106 |
49 |
5 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
43 |
130 |
194 |
148 |
107 |
9 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
10 |
16 |
77 |
70 |
250 |
108 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
12 |
16 |
37 |
76 |
312 |
480 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
11 |
22 |
40 |
316 |
3822 |
2752 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
20721 |
6237 |
498 |
273 |
109 |
65 |
40 |
0 |
OW |
20 |
243 |
212 |
190 |
70 |
86 |
32 |
0 |
VODI |
6 |
147 |
185 |
154 |
132 |
295 |
236 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
46 |
72 |
81 |
73 |
225 |
176 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
19 |
56 |
62 |
57 |
136 |
231 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
29 |
42 |
70 |
80 |
248 |
3753 |
2752 |
|
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