Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2018-08-02
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2018-07-27:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
19556 |
7700 |
2584 |
1064 |
578 |
81 |
104 |
17 |
OW |
0 |
13 |
41 |
122 |
274 |
91 |
70 |
1 |
VODI |
0 |
1 |
10 |
74 |
248 |
195 |
101 |
4 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
12 |
53 |
399 |
243 |
40 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
6 |
2 |
7 |
165 |
1675 |
1663 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
953 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-07-31:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
20979 |
7285 |
2353 |
894 |
256 |
30 |
56 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
1 |
33 |
172 |
185 |
64 |
29 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
1 |
9 |
125 |
258 |
148 |
23 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
17 |
112 |
344 |
232 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
11 |
207 |
1838 |
534 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
15 |
671 |
1268 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-08-02:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
21317 |
7385 |
1801 |
966 |
434 |
44 |
55 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
5 |
16 |
141 |
273 |
64 |
28 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
4 |
3 |
39 |
324 |
180 |
59 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
1 |
0 |
17 |
118 |
296 |
310 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
140 |
1843 |
898 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
7 |
513 |
852 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
21317 |
7385 |
1800 |
977 |
469 |
56 |
62 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
4 |
17 |
130 |
226 |
58 |
19 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
5 |
3 |
39 |
290 |
165 |
64 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
1 |
0 |
17 |
163 |
303 |
365 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
17 |
130 |
1690 |
905 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
19 |
608 |
845 |
|
Date: 2018-08-06:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
23000 |
6735 |
1579 |
579 |
278 |
46 |
44 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
14 |
84 |
101 |
161 |
53 |
34 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
2 |
35 |
152 |
230 |
123 |
94 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
7 |
37 |
187 |
283 |
305 |
13 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
2 |
13 |
117 |
1579 |
516 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
495 |
1255 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
23000 |
6726 |
1549 |
595 |
350 |
68 |
53 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
22 |
98 |
72 |
166 |
69 |
54 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
2 |
47 |
152 |
199 |
153 |
146 |
1 |
ODI |
0 |
1 |
15 |
52 |
143 |
249 |
501 |
6 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
82 |
1628 |
1261 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
169 |
516 |
|
Date: 2018-08-08:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
23335 |
7009 |
1126 |
561 |
247 |
50 |
44 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
23 |
52 |
176 |
165 |
43 |
34 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
11 |
23 |
163 |
203 |
180 |
67 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
8 |
34 |
140 |
395 |
207 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
18 |
258 |
1889 |
73 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
607 |
1012 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
23335 |
6958 |
1075 |
599 |
329 |
61 |
53 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
57 |
74 |
96 |
158 |
91 |
40 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
25 |
49 |
185 |
147 |
187 |
107 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
3 |
11 |
58 |
121 |
331 |
578 |
39 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
18 |
243 |
1745 |
952 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
325 |
94 |
|
Date: 2018-08-10:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
22537 |
7935 |
909 |
732 |
243 |
72 |
47 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
60 |
70 |
142 |
132 |
91 |
39 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
18 |
67 |
97 |
163 |
173 |
102 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
1 |
25 |
29 |
109 |
314 |
267 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
18 |
328 |
1808 |
174 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
591 |
855 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
22537 |
7784 |
887 |
801 |
308 |
102 |
59 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
105 |
34 |
79 |
126 |
111 |
77 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
111 |
90 |
70 |
110 |
184 |
108 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
14 |
61 |
56 |
103 |
311 |
622 |
43 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
18 |
262 |
1761 |
935 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
227 |
51 |
|
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