Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2018-05-17

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-05-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14963 6321 1118 492 160 61 50 0
OW 0 13 148 153 122 56 62 0
VODI 0 7 54 178 180 123 139 0
ODI 0 0 17 103 176 152 270 0
CDI 0 0 7 111 319 610 940 53
VCDI 0 0 6 32 131 493 5779 4560
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-05-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15052 6198 1353 591 208 78 56 0
OW 0 0 110 154 176 126 58 0
VODI 0 0 37 135 330 258 143 1
ODI 0 0 9 80 153 444 350 5
CDI 0 0 5 68 112 432 898 28
VCDI 0 0 1 20 21 108 6247 4114
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-05-17:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2018-05-21:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2018-05-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15726 6351 1350 517 335 169 83 0
OW 0 11 97 144 307 170 58 3
VODI 0 3 34 67 164 297 204 17
ODI 0 0 20 56 54 212 377 8
CDI 0 0 6 47 74 235 1080 26
VCDI 0 0 0 15 25 158 5606 4053
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15726 6358 1333 534 367 276 134 3
OW 0 6 81 119 270 157 154 14
VODI 0 1 49 56 164 201 339 7
ODI 0 0 26 35 45 159 338 3
CDI 0 0 18 87 82 226 974 25
VCDI 0 0 0 15 31 222 5469 4055

Date: 2018-05-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15968 6453 1075 747 391 130 70 0
OW 0 1 80 137 304 122 49 0
VODI 0 3 37 73 198 213 262 22
ODI 0 0 27 56 78 163 374 3
CDI 0 0 6 69 55 152 1104 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 23 140 5675 3886
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15968 6449 1033 706 390 227 143 10
OW 0 6 74 157 270 114 166 11
VODI 0 2 37 66 160 148 348 3
ODI 0 0 33 40 100 99 334 1
CDI 0 0 48 104 90 159 1165 3
VCDI 0 0 0 22 39 173 5378 3883


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