Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2018-03-29

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13794 6321 768 357 95 37 16 0
OW 0 22 170 140 93 57 23 0
VODI 0 11 86 126 112 105 47 0
ODI 0 1 32 81 108 159 163 9
CDI 0 0 9 51 124 295 591 92
VCDI 0 0 2 43 74 392 7399 6154
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13549 6074 1038 407 202 141 24 0
OW 0 12 123 114 72 104 26 0
VODI 0 2 61 103 98 165 84 0
ODI 0 0 7 53 82 201 208 0
CDI 0 0 1 10 42 289 652 12
VCDI 0 0 1 5 18 356 6913 6910
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2018-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2018-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13443 6017 811 424 158 137 63 0
OW 0 38 90 106 83 88 31 0
VODI 0 21 51 73 118 132 81 0
ODI 0 2 24 51 100 197 207 19
CDI 0 0 10 37 97 285 513 82
VCDI 0 0 2 17 77 753 6630 7091
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13443 5980 790 371 171 141 63 0
OW 0 53 87 114 65 89 37 0
VODI 0 25 59 100 103 152 59 0
ODI 0 14 26 56 95 172 232 2
CDI 0 6 22 48 104 302 551 68
VCDI 0 0 4 19 95 736 6583 7122

Date: 2018-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13431 5827 865 367 198 204 17 0
OW 0 3 167 79 72 109 30 0
VODI 0 0 75 90 106 206 74 0
ODI 0 0 24 50 94 283 155 0
CDI 0 0 5 38 47 468 455 20
VCDI 0 0 0 6 40 348 6917 7289
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13431 5786 778 357 199 225 35 0
OW 0 42 167 62 69 111 39 0
VODI 0 2 99 73 77 173 68 0
ODI 0 0 56 49 59 204 152 1
CDI 0 0 27 62 85 397 422 32
VCDI 0 0 9 27 68 508 6932 7276


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