Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2018-02-22
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2018-02-16:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
14939 |
7090 |
939 |
337 |
166 |
86 |
4 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
65 |
182 |
109 |
87 |
78 |
19 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
31 |
141 |
121 |
162 |
209 |
102 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
11 |
74 |
81 |
120 |
378 |
237 |
3 |
CDI |
0 |
18 |
50 |
62 |
115 |
423 |
613 |
83 |
VCDI |
0 |
351 |
47 |
105 |
111 |
603 |
7696 |
2111 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-02-20:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
14781 |
6933 |
984 |
434 |
222 |
85 |
16 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
75 |
133 |
142 |
79 |
105 |
46 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
29 |
97 |
155 |
102 |
146 |
108 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
4 |
39 |
72 |
119 |
186 |
317 |
3 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
8 |
43 |
89 |
264 |
816 |
51 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
37 |
505 |
6670 |
4254 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-02-22:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
14620 |
6885 |
1054 |
377 |
199 |
122 |
2 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
67 |
281 |
104 |
74 |
98 |
38 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
3 |
156 |
97 |
113 |
143 |
172 |
1 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
42 |
69 |
70 |
116 |
276 |
13 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
12 |
52 |
73 |
132 |
773 |
89 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
5 |
22 |
49 |
305 |
6992 |
4463 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
14620 |
6901 |
1109 |
383 |
196 |
137 |
11 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
48 |
233 |
87 |
82 |
80 |
64 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
6 |
150 |
106 |
104 |
138 |
141 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
38 |
70 |
73 |
120 |
257 |
12 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
14 |
44 |
71 |
117 |
766 |
86 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
6 |
31 |
52 |
324 |
7014 |
4468 |
|
Date: 2018-02-26:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
14559 |
7244 |
824 |
415 |
214 |
49 |
17 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
193 |
250 |
153 |
86 |
78 |
24 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
44 |
162 |
210 |
150 |
156 |
85 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
20 |
54 |
99 |
199 |
215 |
349 |
1 |
CDI |
0 |
6 |
40 |
48 |
232 |
421 |
807 |
8 |
VCDI |
0 |
1 |
39 |
67 |
216 |
1094 |
6970 |
2360 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
14559 |
7094 |
880 |
457 |
238 |
71 |
18 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
188 |
196 |
157 |
82 |
95 |
59 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
113 |
106 |
124 |
120 |
146 |
189 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
56 |
40 |
72 |
125 |
138 |
345 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
39 |
53 |
82 |
186 |
290 |
627 |
3 |
VCDI |
0 |
18 |
94 |
100 |
346 |
1273 |
7014 |
2366 |
|
Date: 2018-02-28:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
14097 |
7422 |
1072 |
203 |
92 |
46 |
13 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
95 |
240 |
163 |
69 |
108 |
62 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
58 |
157 |
168 |
137 |
207 |
173 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
9 |
92 |
111 |
130 |
146 |
370 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
69 |
99 |
145 |
236 |
951 |
13 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
48 |
102 |
173 |
933 |
7464 |
2486 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
14097 |
7251 |
1015 |
220 |
88 |
46 |
23 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
152 |
185 |
112 |
66 |
94 |
66 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
107 |
149 |
131 |
102 |
162 |
163 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
60 |
107 |
117 |
125 |
184 |
383 |
7 |
CDI |
0 |
14 |
99 |
99 |
124 |
231 |
921 |
57 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
123 |
167 |
241 |
959 |
7477 |
2435 |
|
Date: 2018-03-02:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
13838 |
7064 |
963 |
406 |
134 |
43 |
2 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
68 |
183 |
170 |
125 |
75 |
10 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
32 |
72 |
171 |
184 |
184 |
81 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
14 |
51 |
133 |
150 |
239 |
220 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
7 |
64 |
95 |
147 |
257 |
793 |
6 |
VCDI |
0 |
1 |
160 |
221 |
305 |
1444 |
7609 |
2438 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
13838 |
6991 |
947 |
389 |
129 |
39 |
4 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
92 |
138 |
164 |
125 |
82 |
33 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
53 |
86 |
156 |
150 |
195 |
101 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
25 |
44 |
99 |
139 |
174 |
218 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
14 |
41 |
110 |
132 |
261 |
751 |
25 |
VCDI |
0 |
11 |
237 |
278 |
370 |
1491 |
7608 |
2419 |
|
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