Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2018-01-25
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2018-01-19:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15370 |
7281 |
911 |
244 |
64 |
31 |
5 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
50 |
253 |
158 |
80 |
62 |
31 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
28 |
168 |
153 |
102 |
124 |
76 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
10 |
67 |
125 |
91 |
165 |
143 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
1 |
50 |
73 |
117 |
230 |
379 |
8 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
43 |
131 |
207 |
894 |
6581 |
3653 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-01-23:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14869 |
7318 |
1293 |
341 |
60 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
176 |
185 |
198 |
90 |
26 |
8 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
130 |
150 |
244 |
171 |
104 |
41 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
31 |
75 |
214 |
171 |
154 |
137 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
12 |
81 |
93 |
177 |
237 |
562 |
1 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
34 |
60 |
133 |
373 |
6609 |
3595 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2018-01-25:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14531 |
6923 |
1379 |
490 |
197 |
27 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
20 |
205 |
230 |
206 |
85 |
6 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
18 |
86 |
207 |
298 |
182 |
35 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
9 |
22 |
146 |
246 |
292 |
116 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
2 |
20 |
72 |
156 |
348 |
462 |
16 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
8 |
62 |
113 |
423 |
6697 |
3824 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14531 |
6920 |
1379 |
513 |
215 |
29 |
1 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
19 |
204 |
210 |
192 |
70 |
4 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
21 |
82 |
206 |
286 |
174 |
29 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
10 |
24 |
132 |
243 |
296 |
103 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
2 |
21 |
79 |
150 |
332 |
457 |
11 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
10 |
67 |
130 |
456 |
6722 |
3829 |
|
Date: 2018-01-29:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14807 |
7235 |
704 |
411 |
173 |
47 |
14 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
43 |
132 |
187 |
118 |
107 |
40 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
29 |
121 |
160 |
181 |
167 |
139 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
4 |
70 |
109 |
133 |
274 |
228 |
3 |
| CDI |
0 |
1 |
49 |
66 |
103 |
327 |
734 |
53 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
9 |
36 |
116 |
386 |
5909 |
4734 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14807 |
7045 |
599 |
264 |
181 |
54 |
18 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
130 |
124 |
236 |
93 |
75 |
45 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
69 |
119 |
186 |
150 |
155 |
95 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
29 |
66 |
104 |
100 |
175 |
207 |
1 |
| CDI |
0 |
27 |
65 |
72 |
84 |
232 |
458 |
24 |
| VCDI |
0 |
12 |
112 |
107 |
216 |
617 |
6241 |
4765 |
|
Date: 2018-01-31:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14409 |
6873 |
923 |
557 |
191 |
101 |
5 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
13 |
113 |
200 |
135 |
122 |
15 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
3 |
42 |
193 |
135 |
256 |
56 |
1 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
31 |
102 |
136 |
238 |
169 |
1 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
22 |
28 |
88 |
372 |
402 |
5 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
26 |
84 |
571 |
6385 |
5156 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14409 |
6765 |
818 |
445 |
174 |
107 |
7 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
61 |
126 |
174 |
93 |
96 |
12 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
35 |
98 |
243 |
169 |
262 |
53 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
19 |
33 |
113 |
124 |
233 |
164 |
2 |
| CDI |
0 |
9 |
21 |
65 |
81 |
260 |
402 |
23 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
35 |
66 |
128 |
702 |
6394 |
5138 |
|
Date: 2018-02-02:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14169 |
6682 |
1033 |
456 |
253 |
151 |
13 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
9 |
123 |
147 |
95 |
144 |
36 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
4 |
54 |
168 |
104 |
222 |
108 |
1 |
| ODI |
0 |
1 |
15 |
55 |
103 |
275 |
180 |
4 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
7 |
52 |
86 |
304 |
469 |
1 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
21 |
99 |
706 |
6863 |
4946 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14169 |
6618 |
851 |
399 |
243 |
174 |
17 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
44 |
178 |
116 |
59 |
99 |
28 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
24 |
116 |
161 |
117 |
203 |
103 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
10 |
55 |
107 |
80 |
302 |
233 |
5 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
28 |
54 |
96 |
279 |
409 |
49 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
62 |
145 |
745 |
6879 |
4898 |
|
Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/SIvalidation/SIwebPage.sh sø. 04. nov. 22:48:07 +0000 2018 on arcmfcval