Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2017-12-14
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2017-12-08:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
15815 |
7406 |
749 |
391 |
264 |
201 |
200 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
145 |
309 |
127 |
91 |
49 |
72 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
64 |
140 |
137 |
126 |
88 |
67 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
19 |
51 |
90 |
102 |
158 |
102 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
14 |
22 |
40 |
90 |
222 |
322 |
15 |
VCDI |
0 |
10 |
41 |
46 |
151 |
461 |
5548 |
4214 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2017-12-12:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
15614 |
7387 |
1026 |
346 |
195 |
183 |
287 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
10 |
117 |
178 |
182 |
102 |
56 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
11 |
47 |
94 |
162 |
174 |
132 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
5 |
7 |
28 |
49 |
176 |
200 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
10 |
10 |
42 |
189 |
510 |
44 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
3 |
12 |
142 |
5933 |
4494 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2017-12-14:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
15974 |
7378 |
881 |
264 |
102 |
119 |
122 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
93 |
192 |
172 |
96 |
79 |
25 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
50 |
157 |
204 |
124 |
128 |
54 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
13 |
35 |
96 |
118 |
126 |
106 |
3 |
CDI |
0 |
8 |
23 |
55 |
95 |
162 |
413 |
19 |
VCDI |
0 |
2 |
39 |
59 |
128 |
471 |
7588 |
2386 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
15974 |
7400 |
955 |
305 |
134 |
132 |
121 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
68 |
129 |
153 |
69 |
79 |
26 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
51 |
148 |
181 |
121 |
114 |
58 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
17 |
40 |
97 |
119 |
129 |
92 |
3 |
CDI |
0 |
8 |
25 |
60 |
93 |
153 |
386 |
21 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
30 |
54 |
127 |
478 |
7625 |
2384 |
|
Date: 2017-12-18:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
15642 |
7188 |
1118 |
292 |
124 |
85 |
81 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
21 |
165 |
180 |
108 |
92 |
46 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
14 |
129 |
213 |
268 |
218 |
105 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
3 |
9 |
51 |
104 |
167 |
192 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
8 |
6 |
13 |
52 |
180 |
524 |
38 |
VCDI |
0 |
3 |
12 |
16 |
39 |
451 |
6149 |
4053 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
15642 |
7148 |
1116 |
355 |
149 |
109 |
106 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
33 |
163 |
164 |
138 |
84 |
37 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
24 |
106 |
118 |
148 |
139 |
111 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
17 |
24 |
69 |
108 |
137 |
128 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
10 |
13 |
38 |
92 |
174 |
299 |
37 |
VCDI |
0 |
5 |
17 |
21 |
60 |
550 |
6416 |
4054 |
|
Date: 2017-12-20:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
15428 |
7639 |
1039 |
272 |
114 |
71 |
97 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
37 |
186 |
163 |
86 |
59 |
43 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
18 |
166 |
162 |
231 |
204 |
63 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
1 |
54 |
97 |
140 |
187 |
116 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
17 |
56 |
100 |
217 |
380 |
5 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
24 |
128 |
384 |
6421 |
3752 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
15428 |
7530 |
937 |
306 |
145 |
129 |
125 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
89 |
218 |
95 |
87 |
79 |
55 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
42 |
161 |
120 |
155 |
136 |
103 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
20 |
67 |
84 |
103 |
113 |
145 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
12 |
42 |
93 |
122 |
177 |
339 |
44 |
VCDI |
0 |
2 |
39 |
76 |
187 |
488 |
6353 |
3713 |
|
Date: 2017-12-22:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
15485 |
7726 |
785 |
308 |
106 |
115 |
84 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
130 |
186 |
158 |
87 |
51 |
45 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
56 |
175 |
203 |
200 |
201 |
47 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
32 |
80 |
138 |
138 |
160 |
118 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
18 |
62 |
106 |
113 |
141 |
416 |
13 |
VCDI |
0 |
1 |
59 |
131 |
325 |
701 |
6336 |
2923 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
15485 |
7364 |
746 |
388 |
154 |
151 |
143 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
211 |
146 |
90 |
89 |
76 |
30 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
135 |
128 |
87 |
101 |
165 |
108 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
82 |
71 |
60 |
70 |
112 |
159 |
1 |
CDI |
0 |
67 |
97 |
131 |
99 |
108 |
333 |
18 |
VCDI |
0 |
104 |
159 |
288 |
456 |
757 |
6273 |
2917 |
|
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