Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2017-07-13
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2017-07-07:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
15799 |
6246 |
2466 |
838 |
647 |
693 |
300 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
0 |
23 |
51 |
61 |
357 |
359 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
0 |
7 |
45 |
45 |
370 |
794 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
34 |
178 |
1121 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
12 |
130 |
2192 |
269 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
7 |
9 |
958 |
4123 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2017-07-11:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
16080 |
6437 |
2662 |
970 |
694 |
531 |
159 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
0 |
42 |
103 |
213 |
302 |
139 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
0 |
15 |
112 |
228 |
415 |
482 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
35 |
72 |
239 |
1182 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
12 |
68 |
1831 |
777 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
3 |
749 |
3587 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2017-07-13:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
15770 |
6686 |
2605 |
1108 |
1057 |
368 |
174 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
0 |
37 |
129 |
276 |
309 |
147 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
0 |
3 |
121 |
239 |
454 |
510 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
28 |
56 |
191 |
1111 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
16 |
78 |
1818 |
961 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
2 |
0 |
617 |
3273 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
15770 |
6686 |
2613 |
1125 |
1096 |
391 |
202 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
0 |
30 |
129 |
236 |
291 |
126 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
101 |
233 |
438 |
504 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
32 |
65 |
207 |
1114 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
14 |
73 |
1881 |
1058 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
2 |
0 |
550 |
3176 |
|
Date: 2017-07-17:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
16415 |
6465 |
3189 |
1303 |
817 |
344 |
138 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
0 |
52 |
179 |
221 |
201 |
141 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
0 |
19 |
111 |
189 |
330 |
467 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
12 |
38 |
73 |
268 |
1077 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
8 |
30 |
1964 |
1891 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
166 |
2038 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
16415 |
6465 |
3186 |
1202 |
763 |
330 |
140 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
0 |
53 |
231 |
257 |
228 |
190 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
0 |
11 |
146 |
203 |
308 |
602 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
10 |
44 |
53 |
235 |
866 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
12 |
19 |
32 |
70 |
1928 |
1816 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
2 |
227 |
2113 |
|
Date: 2017-07-19:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
16690 |
6566 |
3212 |
1235 |
828 |
406 |
152 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
0 |
36 |
111 |
210 |
256 |
187 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
0 |
11 |
68 |
146 |
348 |
584 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
10 |
24 |
60 |
225 |
930 |
1 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
12 |
41 |
1770 |
1957 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
1 |
333 |
1739 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
16690 |
6563 |
3191 |
1099 |
752 |
389 |
153 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
3 |
57 |
168 |
245 |
272 |
221 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
0 |
9 |
117 |
167 |
311 |
605 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
3 |
41 |
60 |
215 |
769 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
10 |
20 |
32 |
90 |
1901 |
1972 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
307 |
1725 |
|
Date: 2017-07-21:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
17926 |
7270 |
1934 |
1122 |
783 |
210 |
105 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
0 |
83 |
145 |
272 |
218 |
143 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
0 |
35 |
100 |
318 |
378 |
341 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
15 |
41 |
93 |
306 |
752 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
9 |
7 |
137 |
3240 |
295 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
342 |
1534 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
17926 |
7267 |
1852 |
1001 |
765 |
240 |
134 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
3 |
141 |
194 |
225 |
185 |
121 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
0 |
55 |
136 |
343 |
349 |
346 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
11 |
65 |
111 |
288 |
542 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
13 |
21 |
29 |
187 |
3428 |
341 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
352 |
1488 |
|
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