Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2017-06-29

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-06-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15453 5952 2477 1106 413 126 79 0
OW 0 5 160 249 152 143 57 0
VODI 0 0 56 118 177 350 378 0
ODI 0 0 1 44 92 408 862 0
CDI 0 0 3 50 85 236 2440 1
VCDI 0 0 2 7 15 62 2136 4264
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-06-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16719 5443 2264 1005 241 86 82 0
OW 0 2 120 261 158 85 69 0
VODI 0 0 37 196 318 278 216 0
ODI 0 0 17 49 258 747 790 0
CDI 0 0 8 27 99 324 1990 1
VCDI 0 0 1 3 25 140 2516 3584
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-06-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15520 6249 2144 1277 442 200 148 0
OW 0 1 73 270 191 137 136 0
VODI 0 0 13 191 352 424 347 0
ODI 0 0 8 44 143 639 810 0
CDI 0 0 6 17 90 298 1952 3
VCDI 0 0 0 2 15 85 2233 3699
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15520 6250 2148 1295 459 224 173 0
OW 0 0 64 261 185 116 123 0
VODI 0 0 18 177 337 395 310 0
ODI 0 0 8 49 144 649 868 0
CDI 0 0 6 15 93 330 1911 9
VCDI 0 0 0 4 15 69 2241 3693

Date: 2017-07-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15294 6086 2932 927 601 383 250 7
OW 0 0 55 83 146 204 209 13
VODI 0 0 6 47 89 270 645 12
ODI 0 0 2 13 34 155 1279 14
CDI 0 0 3 6 8 103 2369 83
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 11 1379 4436
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15294 6086 2872 896 591 438 350 15
OW 0 0 83 76 139 169 316 21
VODI 0 0 36 68 93 246 961 17
ODI 0 0 4 27 37 103 1239 17
CDI 0 0 3 8 20 160 1926 73
VCDI 0 0 0 1 3 10 1339 4422

Date: 2017-07-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15961 6130 2537 766 567 567 234 0
OW 0 0 29 73 126 237 270 0
VODI 0 0 1 43 75 278 808 0
ODI 0 0 2 9 28 189 1156 0
CDI 0 0 3 7 24 121 2304 164
VCDI 0 0 0 1 9 12 1171 4257
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15961 6128 2467 723 556 615 386 0
OW 0 2 61 75 107 216 423 0
VODI 0 0 31 66 83 256 916 0
ODI 0 0 11 19 36 137 1124 0
CDI 0 0 2 16 31 156 1685 30
VCDI 0 0 0 0 16 24 1409 4391

Date: 2017-07-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15799 6246 2466 838 647 693 300 0
OW 0 0 23 51 61 357 359 0
VODI 0 0 7 45 45 370 794 0
ODI 0 0 0 11 34 178 1121 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 12 130 2192 269
VCDI 0 0 0 2 7 9 958 4123
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15799 6240 2424 789 594 799 502 0
OW 0 5 31 62 70 307 430 0
VODI 0 1 26 46 63 323 843 0
ODI 0 0 14 35 34 110 1012 0
CDI 0 0 1 19 32 174 1473 4
VCDI 0 0 0 8 13 24 1464 4388


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