Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2017-06-01

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-05-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14620 5706 813 547 180 23 14 0
OW 1 9 66 243 147 65 22 0
VODI 3 4 24 206 204 148 176 0
ODI 1 0 5 126 121 209 331 0
CDI 0 1 9 124 241 1030 1051 0
VCDI 0 0 1 72 109 1400 7721 2386
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-05-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14419 6077 1226 476 167 39 21 0
OW 0 7 185 172 134 82 28 0
VODI 0 3 97 212 196 151 167 0
ODI 0 0 32 160 180 224 449 1
CDI 0 0 7 100 191 504 1881 15
VCDI 0 0 0 10 65 199 6739 3543
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-06-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14354 6619 867 564 137 54 28 0
OW 0 41 151 195 160 72 34 0
VODI 0 12 87 243 191 128 188 0
ODI 0 5 31 233 246 265 358 0
CDI 0 0 22 260 303 431 1655 18
VCDI 0 0 4 33 181 341 5833 3815
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14354 6614 877 578 170 63 35 0
OW 0 40 131 172 123 62 26 0
VODI 0 17 93 251 187 121 194 0
ODI 0 6 35 235 259 254 384 0
CDI 0 0 22 259 309 449 1613 28
VCDI 0 0 4 33 170 342 5844 3805

Date: 2017-06-05:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2017-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15095 6478 1253 562 349 67 39 0
OW 0 7 167 238 196 54 83 2
VODI 0 0 112 242 271 133 208 2
ODI 0 0 55 122 219 174 448 0
CDI 0 0 49 102 288 409 2558 0
VCDI 0 0 1 7 31 63 4597 3478
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15095 6434 961 404 257 85 75 0
OW 0 33 199 183 154 63 112 0
VODI 0 18 191 234 270 129 364 4
ODI 0 0 165 210 213 76 478 0
CDI 0 0 115 212 360 367 2428 0
VCDI 0 0 6 30 100 180 4476 3478

Date: 2017-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15462 6510 1086 601 183 71 46 0
OW 0 47 179 277 171 79 96 6
VODI 0 12 168 260 186 154 219 0
ODI 0 0 68 149 142 137 498 0
CDI 0 0 48 124 268 444 2404 47
VCDI 0 0 3 31 40 138 4036 3769
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15462 6416 864 453 192 128 97 0
OW 0 90 165 194 156 83 105 1
VODI 0 54 237 269 150 106 328 5
ODI 0 9 216 268 131 91 495 0
CDI 0 0 70 235 328 402 2524 1
VCDI 0 0 0 23 33 213 3750 3815


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