Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2017-04-13

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13163 6115 854 457 162 59 4 0
OW 0 37 147 151 99 45 8 0
VODI 0 24 75 181 126 87 21 0
ODI 0 11 18 139 179 315 95 0
CDI 0 4 13 45 155 347 392 5
VCDI 0 0 5 42 137 723 8562 5157
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13242 6608 664 357 147 40 2 0
OW 0 73 157 126 84 33 8 0
VODI 0 31 127 149 135 130 38 0
ODI 0 4 41 62 141 239 144 0
CDI 0 1 15 45 123 335 576 9
VCDI 0 0 2 32 62 327 8985 4865
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2017-04-17:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2017-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12919 5900 1056 548 282 80 26 0
OW 0 2 111 186 120 79 31 0
VODI 0 0 52 150 170 136 72 0
ODI 0 0 43 97 80 172 132 12
CDI 0 0 3 76 111 234 541 70
VCDI 0 0 0 55 69 396 8021 6127
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12919 5881 1001 562 268 92 38 0
OW 0 21 122 136 126 75 51 0
VODI 0 0 66 158 168 158 98 0
ODI 0 0 52 88 91 179 150 11
CDI 0 0 22 84 77 196 757 70
VCDI 0 0 2 84 102 397 7729 6128

Date: 2017-04-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13013 5957 1290 375 177 47 21 0
OW 0 7 154 162 116 71 20 0
VODI 0 0 87 151 150 100 57 0
ODI 0 0 45 107 129 129 198 12
CDI 0 0 24 69 105 151 604 65
VCDI 0 0 15 71 89 282 8474 5635
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13013 5936 1259 373 168 66 42 0
OW 0 24 147 141 113 57 39 0
VODI 0 4 86 154 164 119 89 4
ODI 0 0 63 97 116 117 206 27
CDI 0 0 29 87 103 127 600 77
VCDI 0 0 31 83 102 294 8398 5604


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