Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2017-04-06

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12614 6428 804 634 255 154 72 0
OW 0 22 139 173 102 65 69 0
VODI 0 11 155 224 223 188 120 0
ODI 0 19 34 100 134 227 169 0
CDI 0 1 3 38 77 259 675 42
VCDI 0 0 0 12 37 197 7629 6054
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12967 6161 1104 474 132 72 30 0
OW 0 4 178 153 92 60 30 0
VODI 0 0 119 197 239 139 44 0
ODI 0 0 33 128 190 158 124 0
CDI 0 0 3 49 160 391 438 13
VCDI 0 0 0 33 103 707 7913 5521
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13067 6079 951 504 206 80 6 0
OW 0 17 159 139 96 67 10 0
VODI 0 4 98 174 133 125 23 0
ODI 0 0 30 78 137 361 80 0
CDI 0 0 9 41 128 382 425 20
VCDI 0 0 0 30 110 439 8559 5392
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13067 6080 971 527 229 95 9 0
OW 0 15 150 127 86 64 8 0
VODI 0 5 86 171 127 144 24 0
ODI 0 0 30 75 128 302 87 0
CDI 0 0 9 38 128 375 439 17
VCDI 0 0 1 28 112 474 8536 5395

Date: 2017-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13156 6482 817 376 149 45 3 0
OW 0 102 163 150 76 39 12 0
VODI 0 26 108 115 143 135 57 0
ODI 0 3 28 49 136 231 180 13
CDI 0 2 12 28 71 245 551 86
VCDI 0 0 1 10 44 295 8634 5386
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13156 6401 749 326 155 49 16 0
OW 0 124 159 117 66 53 34 0
VODI 0 50 136 153 93 108 72 0
ODI 0 25 57 79 131 199 184 12
CDI 0 13 24 32 105 238 470 77
VCDI 0 2 4 21 69 343 8661 5396

Date: 2017-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13174 6603 625 424 143 19 5 0
OW 0 84 163 146 75 25 10 0
VODI 0 30 149 162 110 84 37 0
ODI 0 1 69 99 143 213 129 0
CDI 0 0 11 62 157 229 537 29
VCDI 0 0 2 37 106 281 8730 5256
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13174 6511 547 388 141 24 12 0
OW 0 129 154 135 57 31 29 0
VODI 0 54 159 172 111 68 85 0
ODI 0 21 114 96 135 175 137 0
CDI 0 3 38 78 148 238 521 22
VCDI 0 0 7 61 142 315 8664 5263

Date: 2017-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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