Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2017-01-05
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2016-12-30:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16493 |
7783 |
498 |
239 |
120 |
46 |
63 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
199 |
185 |
91 |
49 |
54 |
25 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
107 |
197 |
158 |
84 |
81 |
62 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
34 |
96 |
130 |
127 |
132 |
108 |
7 |
| CDI |
0 |
33 |
62 |
113 |
143 |
288 |
254 |
76 |
| VCDI |
0 |
19 |
49 |
127 |
204 |
1058 |
5156 |
3409 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2017-01-03:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15936 |
7559 |
640 |
342 |
215 |
93 |
48 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
105 |
112 |
155 |
104 |
80 |
20 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
52 |
108 |
124 |
111 |
134 |
36 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
18 |
62 |
105 |
96 |
191 |
76 |
2 |
| CDI |
0 |
17 |
45 |
105 |
71 |
432 |
401 |
45 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
3 |
50 |
111 |
894 |
6130 |
3331 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2017-01-05:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15580 |
7394 |
781 |
342 |
137 |
81 |
71 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
112 |
121 |
142 |
98 |
41 |
31 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
62 |
107 |
128 |
150 |
104 |
76 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
17 |
47 |
80 |
106 |
180 |
122 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
10 |
24 |
72 |
106 |
295 |
500 |
32 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
3 |
32 |
72 |
505 |
6220 |
4178 |
|
...forecast not produced
|
Date: 2017-01-09:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15756 |
7263 |
812 |
403 |
181 |
88 |
52 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
49 |
131 |
115 |
162 |
160 |
53 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
25 |
80 |
136 |
232 |
310 |
212 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
5 |
28 |
94 |
152 |
185 |
303 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
11 |
79 |
90 |
306 |
547 |
13 |
| VCDI |
0 |
3 |
8 |
62 |
124 |
442 |
6494 |
2993 |
|
...forecast not produced
|
Date: 2017-01-11:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15933 |
7340 |
528 |
353 |
108 |
43 |
37 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
169 |
119 |
179 |
110 |
32 |
35 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
107 |
158 |
196 |
158 |
103 |
30 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
28 |
150 |
260 |
189 |
150 |
120 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
11 |
86 |
240 |
170 |
280 |
406 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
10 |
14 |
105 |
203 |
731 |
6436 |
2832 |
|
...forecast not produced
|
Date: 2017-01-13:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15478 |
6939 |
850 |
448 |
258 |
123 |
19 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
89 |
180 |
176 |
141 |
94 |
78 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
39 |
190 |
216 |
184 |
132 |
87 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
19 |
94 |
166 |
158 |
202 |
188 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
7 |
135 |
162 |
196 |
326 |
481 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
50 |
178 |
220 |
519 |
6299 |
3038 |
|
...forecast not produced
|
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