Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2016-11-24
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2016-11-18:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
20049 |
8113 |
748 |
209 |
72 |
60 |
10 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
384 |
289 |
89 |
45 |
20 |
17 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
54 |
266 |
207 |
151 |
47 |
33 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
69 |
84 |
132 |
84 |
52 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
18 |
55 |
136 |
156 |
169 |
1 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
21 |
92 |
330 |
2865 |
3028 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2016-11-22:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
21336 |
7365 |
777 |
351 |
160 |
40 |
13 |
0 |
OW |
39 |
82 |
189 |
166 |
45 |
12 |
6 |
0 |
VODI |
12 |
19 |
49 |
130 |
85 |
44 |
14 |
0 |
ODI |
1 |
2 |
12 |
49 |
116 |
140 |
67 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
1 |
3 |
22 |
71 |
190 |
328 |
3 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
35 |
138 |
3852 |
2181 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2016-11-24:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
19105 |
8649 |
980 |
373 |
181 |
56 |
4 |
0 |
OW |
1 |
111 |
175 |
131 |
82 |
37 |
2 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
12 |
149 |
187 |
194 |
154 |
23 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
35 |
92 |
107 |
128 |
81 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
13 |
37 |
55 |
224 |
352 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
9 |
10 |
31 |
163 |
3714 |
2502 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
19105 |
8663 |
952 |
359 |
180 |
56 |
3 |
0 |
OW |
1 |
91 |
170 |
105 |
57 |
26 |
3 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
18 |
167 |
159 |
135 |
101 |
20 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
51 |
145 |
175 |
182 |
72 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
12 |
48 |
69 |
220 |
338 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
9 |
14 |
34 |
177 |
3740 |
2502 |
|
Date: 2016-11-28:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
18060 |
8294 |
1024 |
713 |
190 |
178 |
28 |
0 |
OW |
15 |
36 |
96 |
132 |
77 |
81 |
15 |
0 |
VODI |
2 |
12 |
46 |
115 |
104 |
142 |
87 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
3 |
53 |
78 |
189 |
256 |
1 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
10 |
40 |
185 |
791 |
7 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
158 |
2845 |
4088 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
18057 |
8296 |
986 |
661 |
182 |
189 |
32 |
0 |
OW |
19 |
34 |
130 |
134 |
66 |
83 |
26 |
0 |
VODI |
1 |
10 |
44 |
141 |
127 |
177 |
115 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
2 |
10 |
57 |
54 |
152 |
276 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
31 |
55 |
103 |
566 |
6 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
229 |
3007 |
4090 |
|
Date: 2016-11-30:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
17635 |
8139 |
1362 |
592 |
179 |
68 |
20 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
45 |
197 |
173 |
78 |
38 |
8 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
7 |
120 |
180 |
101 |
108 |
21 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
38 |
119 |
83 |
158 |
103 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
7 |
70 |
88 |
225 |
367 |
3 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
47 |
377 |
4011 |
3383 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
17635 |
8119 |
1386 |
589 |
194 |
75 |
23 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
47 |
176 |
198 |
93 |
75 |
7 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
20 |
106 |
206 |
104 |
184 |
28 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
5 |
36 |
77 |
73 |
210 |
178 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
20 |
52 |
57 |
145 |
508 |
9 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
21 |
55 |
285 |
3786 |
3377 |
|
Date: 2016-12-02:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
16825 |
8185 |
1289 |
591 |
217 |
162 |
17 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
155 |
199 |
156 |
107 |
64 |
5 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
67 |
104 |
174 |
119 |
175 |
14 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
5 |
35 |
77 |
87 |
219 |
54 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
3 |
22 |
83 |
67 |
319 |
343 |
15 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
21 |
28 |
455 |
4588 |
3113 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
16825 |
8200 |
1346 |
638 |
244 |
184 |
17 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
187 |
174 |
173 |
133 |
148 |
8 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
18 |
87 |
117 |
113 |
256 |
57 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
5 |
29 |
85 |
61 |
228 |
196 |
1 |
CDI |
0 |
5 |
12 |
67 |
53 |
217 |
404 |
5 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
22 |
21 |
361 |
4339 |
3122 |
|
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