Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2016-09-29
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2016-09-23:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
24357 |
5589 |
896 |
290 |
89 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
17 |
82 |
122 |
87 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
13 |
42 |
126 |
191 |
77 |
0 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
93 |
31 |
81 |
144 |
196 |
18 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
759 |
49 |
71 |
86 |
151 |
20 |
0 |
VCDI |
1468 |
2680 |
67 |
128 |
94 |
33 |
0 |
0 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2016-09-27:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
25002 |
4995 |
672 |
274 |
109 |
19 |
0 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
13 |
54 |
67 |
84 |
17 |
2 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
1 |
14 |
53 |
149 |
104 |
36 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
12 |
107 |
200 |
94 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
41 |
323 |
516 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
44 |
266 |
3939 |
942 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2016-09-29:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
24865 |
5098 |
636 |
310 |
60 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
7 |
71 |
87 |
44 |
15 |
3 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
0 |
39 |
74 |
114 |
77 |
29 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
7 |
25 |
110 |
137 |
90 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
14 |
65 |
178 |
365 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
36 |
196 |
3565 |
1829 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
24865 |
5087 |
627 |
338 |
70 |
7 |
1 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
18 |
72 |
68 |
51 |
21 |
2 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
0 |
46 |
65 |
124 |
83 |
34 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
7 |
27 |
91 |
143 |
89 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
3 |
16 |
60 |
162 |
375 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
33 |
192 |
3551 |
1829 |
|
Date: 2016-10-03:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
25839 |
4444 |
384 |
185 |
54 |
7 |
1 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
20 |
55 |
78 |
77 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
8 |
22 |
65 |
137 |
37 |
2 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
22 |
3 |
17 |
116 |
129 |
28 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
59 |
10 |
18 |
95 |
213 |
255 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
62 |
2 |
5 |
133 |
268 |
3004 |
2291 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
25839 |
4354 |
357 |
177 |
101 |
20 |
1 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
58 |
42 |
66 |
89 |
18 |
0 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
38 |
28 |
47 |
92 |
51 |
13 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
38 |
18 |
28 |
97 |
80 |
56 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
60 |
24 |
30 |
70 |
153 |
113 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
67 |
7 |
20 |
163 |
346 |
3107 |
2291 |
|
Date: 2016-10-05:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
25254 |
4781 |
512 |
268 |
64 |
8 |
1 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
43 |
27 |
72 |
90 |
29 |
1 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
17 |
23 |
56 |
91 |
104 |
10 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
4 |
8 |
13 |
42 |
161 |
49 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
16 |
94 |
194 |
281 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
44 |
260 |
3099 |
2435 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
25254 |
4689 |
432 |
229 |
105 |
22 |
1 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
72 |
97 |
79 |
54 |
54 |
0 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
46 |
19 |
60 |
59 |
123 |
24 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
20 |
8 |
22 |
61 |
97 |
62 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
18 |
18 |
29 |
89 |
167 |
192 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
57 |
293 |
3162 |
2435 |
|
Date: 2016-10-07:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
24952 |
4846 |
771 |
167 |
77 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
18 |
97 |
82 |
65 |
27 |
0 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
0 |
54 |
111 |
104 |
63 |
4 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
10 |
45 |
65 |
120 |
57 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
19 |
68 |
158 |
239 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
73 |
189 |
2916 |
2746 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
24952 |
4829 |
710 |
152 |
100 |
12 |
0 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
27 |
142 |
108 |
70 |
31 |
0 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
8 |
51 |
86 |
81 |
96 |
13 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
18 |
36 |
51 |
100 |
63 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
15 |
40 |
100 |
119 |
192 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
50 |
206 |
2948 |
2746 |
|
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