Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2016-07-07
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2016-07-01:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
20028 |
7919 |
836 |
937 |
319 |
86 |
181 |
13 |
OW |
0 |
22 |
41 |
157 |
255 |
51 |
62 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
1 |
13 |
83 |
354 |
216 |
163 |
4 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
21 |
201 |
247 |
318 |
11 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
17 |
151 |
1638 |
519 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
625 |
2656 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2016-07-05:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
20694 |
7926 |
886 |
535 |
232 |
105 |
174 |
12 |
OW |
0 |
66 |
58 |
91 |
94 |
92 |
49 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
9 |
31 |
92 |
175 |
242 |
171 |
3 |
ODI |
0 |
1 |
16 |
27 |
101 |
228 |
558 |
11 |
CDI |
0 |
1 |
4 |
2 |
13 |
65 |
1786 |
439 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
379 |
2789 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2016-07-07:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
21636 |
6990 |
683 |
859 |
277 |
44 |
172 |
12 |
OW |
0 |
16 |
33 |
112 |
161 |
86 |
78 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
7 |
15 |
78 |
183 |
308 |
234 |
2 |
ODI |
0 |
1 |
6 |
28 |
57 |
187 |
565 |
1 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
57 |
1745 |
695 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
263 |
2560 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
21636 |
6997 |
691 |
898 |
344 |
59 |
183 |
12 |
OW |
0 |
9 |
24 |
72 |
96 |
86 |
84 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
7 |
15 |
82 |
185 |
307 |
283 |
2 |
ODI |
0 |
1 |
6 |
25 |
46 |
156 |
493 |
1 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
11 |
74 |
1680 |
772 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
334 |
2483 |
|
Date: 2016-07-11:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
24142 |
5572 |
541 |
259 |
100 |
25 |
119 |
13 |
OW |
0 |
14 |
76 |
171 |
93 |
25 |
45 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
0 |
25 |
152 |
301 |
118 |
87 |
2 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
42 |
181 |
299 |
263 |
1 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
15 |
102 |
2183 |
1227 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
148 |
1812 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
24142 |
5575 |
563 |
328 |
141 |
34 |
136 |
13 |
OW |
0 |
11 |
61 |
147 |
159 |
77 |
79 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
0 |
18 |
115 |
280 |
206 |
230 |
2 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
39 |
88 |
157 |
429 |
1 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
22 |
95 |
1788 |
1219 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
183 |
1820 |
|
Date: 2016-07-13:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
23639 |
6334 |
556 |
173 |
63 |
29 |
142 |
13 |
OW |
0 |
23 |
120 |
109 |
83 |
33 |
81 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
0 |
34 |
86 |
151 |
232 |
274 |
2 |
ODI |
0 |
1 |
4 |
13 |
28 |
111 |
533 |
1 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
12 |
24 |
2129 |
1850 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
64 |
1208 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
23639 |
6310 |
540 |
192 |
90 |
53 |
164 |
13 |
OW |
0 |
36 |
117 |
108 |
80 |
127 |
178 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
12 |
52 |
73 |
114 |
130 |
379 |
2 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
7 |
9 |
51 |
78 |
600 |
1 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
41 |
1813 |
1775 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
89 |
1283 |
|
Date: 2016-07-15:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
24171 |
5578 |
759 |
251 |
83 |
51 |
136 |
13 |
OW |
0 |
6 |
124 |
118 |
106 |
102 |
101 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
2 |
18 |
54 |
98 |
208 |
371 |
2 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
9 |
6 |
26 |
87 |
664 |
4 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
9 |
58 |
1731 |
2879 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
318 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
24171 |
5549 |
727 |
248 |
102 |
84 |
224 |
13 |
OW |
0 |
33 |
111 |
82 |
100 |
132 |
233 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
4 |
64 |
75 |
78 |
118 |
350 |
2 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
9 |
26 |
30 |
132 |
710 |
2 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
40 |
1473 |
2991 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
26 |
208 |
|
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