Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2016-03-31

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2016-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14504 6392 771 251 88 24 3 0
OW 0 138 207 156 112 56 5 0
VODI 0 165 200 199 127 95 33 0
ODI 0 62 127 148 100 107 149 4
CDI 0 30 135 154 131 176 435 43
VCDI 0 12 166 222 510 647 6760 4515
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14314 6424 817 373 77 18 3 0
OW 0 151 206 167 119 36 5 0
VODI 0 160 175 139 145 39 42 0
ODI 0 76 124 111 149 86 121 0
CDI 0 45 134 120 187 175 586 26
VCDI 0 13 260 282 502 543 6492 4717
...forecast not produced

Date: 2016-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14265 6498 858 359 158 61 5 0
OW 0 76 179 247 159 123 4 0
VODI 0 69 167 225 167 294 15 0
ODI 0 6 75 143 176 412 146 0
CDI 0 0 17 64 123 766 967 8
VCDI 0 0 19 40 116 630 6770 3752
...forecast not produced

Date: 2016-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14182 6525 966 371 164 36 9 0
OW 0 68 193 198 148 87 7 0
VODI 0 54 182 176 203 213 17 0
ODI 0 52 129 115 196 223 124 0
CDI 0 1 57 73 199 596 805 3
VCDI 0 0 23 60 115 430 6956 4203
...forecast not produced

Date: 2016-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14250 6554 795 369 164 63 14 0
OW 0 121 165 244 172 87 24 0
VODI 0 117 148 168 161 153 47 0
ODI 0 98 64 80 166 198 164 5
CDI 0 34 96 73 150 334 718 25
VCDI 0 0 46 67 95 412 7221 4297
...forecast not produced


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