Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2016-03-24

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13788 6471 795 262 95 19 0 0
OW 0 209 197 176 81 39 10 0
VODI 0 163 185 283 165 72 66 0
ODI 0 95 129 223 189 152 177 0
CDI 0 106 131 189 301 185 364 12
VCDI 0 71 143 290 386 895 6362 4683
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13601 6584 883 412 78 18 5 0
OW 0 81 176 184 90 25 3 0
VODI 0 58 129 195 191 76 24 0
ODI 0 12 65 127 227 213 123 0
CDI 0 2 80 114 159 369 460 7
VCDI 0 0 52 108 194 850 7764 4420
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2016-03-28:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2016-03-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14290 6409 779 269 150 43 3 0
OW 0 137 194 150 95 86 9 0
VODI 0 176 162 152 110 121 25 0
ODI 0 83 147 144 119 149 157 3
CDI 0 37 141 126 130 238 487 35
VCDI 0 14 185 256 283 769 6618 4678
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14290 6157 592 220 101 33 3 0
OW 0 287 168 141 69 42 4 0
VODI 0 240 228 168 131 102 17 0
ODI 0 73 142 163 116 153 151 14
CDI 0 50 102 106 127 231 419 70
VCDI 0 49 376 299 343 845 6705 4632

Date: 2016-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14325 6484 804 327 56 22 5 0
OW 0 146 238 139 90 40 11 0
VODI 0 180 170 139 134 43 42 0
ODI 0 99 99 115 136 98 126 0
CDI 0 76 123 128 151 185 621 1
VCDI 0 67 336 200 410 604 6609 4580
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14325 6072 593 246 34 13 3 0
OW 0 194 220 104 56 15 3 0
VODI 0 243 189 128 84 53 15 0
ODI 0 246 139 152 139 85 133 0
CDI 0 143 123 124 180 188 653 2
VCDI 0 154 506 294 484 638 6607 4579


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