Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2016-03-17
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2016-03-11:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14794 |
6695 |
541 |
153 |
38 |
13 |
6 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
358 |
327 |
201 |
120 |
24 |
19 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
234 |
295 |
244 |
271 |
128 |
44 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
49 |
184 |
193 |
322 |
266 |
213 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
40 |
74 |
129 |
214 |
313 |
757 |
12 |
| VCDI |
0 |
3 |
48 |
75 |
134 |
295 |
6648 |
3685 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2016-03-15:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15271 |
6700 |
343 |
149 |
91 |
39 |
3 |
14 |
| OW |
0 |
590 |
132 |
138 |
112 |
56 |
27 |
61 |
| VODI |
0 |
172 |
137 |
226 |
343 |
115 |
110 |
50 |
| ODI |
0 |
122 |
78 |
242 |
426 |
285 |
361 |
40 |
| CDI |
0 |
8 |
21 |
135 |
230 |
311 |
842 |
63 |
| VCDI |
0 |
1 |
19 |
79 |
245 |
588 |
5309 |
3875 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2016-03-17:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14484 |
6056 |
777 |
238 |
110 |
23 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
249 |
216 |
177 |
96 |
46 |
16 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
158 |
207 |
247 |
180 |
153 |
45 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
130 |
176 |
182 |
239 |
258 |
204 |
1 |
| CDI |
0 |
36 |
75 |
97 |
218 |
539 |
492 |
69 |
| VCDI |
0 |
22 |
90 |
122 |
200 |
867 |
6092 |
4572 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14484 |
6082 |
832 |
267 |
121 |
30 |
1 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
247 |
165 |
157 |
98 |
46 |
17 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
143 |
210 |
243 |
187 |
194 |
39 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
125 |
179 |
176 |
218 |
281 |
213 |
3 |
| CDI |
0 |
38 |
66 |
111 |
244 |
643 |
564 |
72 |
| VCDI |
0 |
16 |
89 |
109 |
175 |
692 |
6015 |
4567 |
|
Date: 2016-03-21:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
13848 |
6634 |
723 |
360 |
82 |
19 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
180 |
126 |
208 |
116 |
23 |
4 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
89 |
102 |
213 |
262 |
107 |
32 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
22 |
49 |
137 |
208 |
268 |
146 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
10 |
30 |
101 |
204 |
343 |
523 |
5 |
| VCDI |
0 |
6 |
27 |
68 |
175 |
1078 |
7709 |
3922 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
13848 |
6370 |
580 |
284 |
76 |
17 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
172 |
116 |
137 |
102 |
39 |
6 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
140 |
130 |
196 |
182 |
130 |
79 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
89 |
54 |
123 |
185 |
224 |
186 |
6 |
| CDI |
0 |
82 |
49 |
104 |
138 |
284 |
461 |
16 |
| VCDI |
0 |
88 |
128 |
243 |
364 |
1144 |
7682 |
3905 |
|
Date: 2016-03-23:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
13847 |
6360 |
795 |
280 |
87 |
18 |
7 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
76 |
157 |
171 |
130 |
28 |
5 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
68 |
120 |
158 |
200 |
91 |
16 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
19 |
77 |
87 |
185 |
214 |
136 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
2 |
92 |
80 |
181 |
352 |
437 |
9 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
62 |
96 |
138 |
714 |
7736 |
4928 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
13847 |
6184 |
637 |
224 |
94 |
28 |
7 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
139 |
192 |
125 |
75 |
45 |
6 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
95 |
130 |
169 |
167 |
120 |
109 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
48 |
85 |
116 |
202 |
217 |
158 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
34 |
71 |
66 |
149 |
232 |
429 |
8 |
| VCDI |
0 |
25 |
188 |
172 |
234 |
775 |
7628 |
4929 |
|
Date: 2016-03-25:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
...observations not yet available
|
...observations not yet available
|
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