Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2016-02-18
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2016-02-12:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
14876 |
5948 |
798 |
295 |
126 |
27 |
9 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
259 |
177 |
171 |
147 |
67 |
29 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
331 |
118 |
143 |
165 |
124 |
120 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
113 |
137 |
109 |
96 |
128 |
165 |
26 |
CDI |
0 |
18 |
116 |
180 |
211 |
228 |
559 |
68 |
VCDI |
0 |
19 |
110 |
203 |
360 |
848 |
5787 |
4748 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2016-02-16:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
13962 |
6830 |
1267 |
285 |
58 |
21 |
11 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
102 |
254 |
279 |
134 |
29 |
18 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
64 |
199 |
406 |
337 |
140 |
36 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
14 |
94 |
249 |
290 |
232 |
78 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
4 |
43 |
142 |
226 |
285 |
369 |
24 |
VCDI |
0 |
66 |
40 |
136 |
329 |
916 |
6460 |
3730 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2016-02-18:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
14749 |
6702 |
704 |
171 |
59 |
12 |
20 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
240 |
187 |
123 |
112 |
34 |
17 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
163 |
265 |
223 |
208 |
144 |
42 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
43 |
191 |
201 |
240 |
234 |
155 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
16 |
127 |
217 |
196 |
274 |
512 |
18 |
VCDI |
0 |
21 |
192 |
293 |
465 |
611 |
5761 |
4217 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
14749 |
6756 |
713 |
195 |
90 |
26 |
18 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
196 |
234 |
141 |
115 |
34 |
17 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
127 |
199 |
192 |
196 |
169 |
55 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
60 |
185 |
179 |
215 |
186 |
164 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
23 |
128 |
209 |
196 |
267 |
481 |
17 |
VCDI |
0 |
23 |
207 |
312 |
468 |
627 |
5772 |
4218 |
|
Date: 2016-02-22:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
14897 |
6989 |
885 |
198 |
39 |
9 |
6 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
441 |
370 |
262 |
109 |
43 |
10 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
33 |
207 |
335 |
327 |
211 |
56 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
11 |
114 |
162 |
224 |
351 |
156 |
18 |
CDI |
0 |
16 |
69 |
148 |
195 |
348 |
510 |
66 |
VCDI |
0 |
13 |
81 |
129 |
216 |
531 |
6161 |
3213 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
14897 |
6621 |
713 |
182 |
55 |
19 |
15 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
280 |
188 |
139 |
76 |
52 |
33 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
288 |
203 |
219 |
228 |
131 |
48 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
123 |
156 |
154 |
176 |
255 |
126 |
3 |
CDI |
0 |
70 |
191 |
174 |
124 |
251 |
285 |
71 |
VCDI |
0 |
121 |
275 |
366 |
451 |
785 |
6392 |
3223 |
|
Date: 2016-02-24:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
14756 |
6488 |
963 |
114 |
32 |
14 |
9 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
364 |
484 |
306 |
91 |
40 |
8 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
172 |
251 |
411 |
272 |
205 |
62 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
21 |
87 |
208 |
267 |
297 |
201 |
1 |
CDI |
0 |
9 |
60 |
175 |
245 |
465 |
621 |
7 |
VCDI |
0 |
10 |
120 |
166 |
260 |
553 |
5364 |
3980 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
14756 |
6441 |
847 |
112 |
52 |
18 |
17 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
242 |
296 |
121 |
54 |
50 |
12 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
155 |
309 |
223 |
162 |
123 |
57 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
58 |
179 |
230 |
191 |
263 |
201 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
39 |
82 |
337 |
210 |
361 |
475 |
8 |
VCDI |
0 |
129 |
252 |
357 |
498 |
759 |
5503 |
3980 |
|
Date: 2016-02-26:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
14907 |
6427 |
529 |
120 |
31 |
3 |
4 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
373 |
269 |
148 |
80 |
22 |
9 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
182 |
300 |
518 |
306 |
140 |
38 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
79 |
114 |
254 |
353 |
277 |
237 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
16 |
101 |
153 |
307 |
325 |
681 |
2 |
VCDI |
0 |
3 |
100 |
259 |
322 |
491 |
5990 |
3689 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
14907 |
6276 |
516 |
120 |
45 |
15 |
18 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
329 |
146 |
108 |
68 |
26 |
12 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
222 |
231 |
196 |
178 |
124 |
54 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
127 |
149 |
206 |
192 |
201 |
266 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
65 |
108 |
269 |
255 |
275 |
602 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
61 |
263 |
553 |
661 |
617 |
6007 |
3691 |
|
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