Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2015-12-17

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2015-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15673 6861 641 133 38 26 41 0
OW 0 261 207 77 47 28 45 0
VODI 0 292 209 103 89 45 47 0
ODI 0 223 231 133 95 71 57 0
CDI 0 18 88 187 258 202 218 0
VCDI 0 0 38 67 248 561 6692 2817
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15424 6792 723 359 85 14 10 0
OW 0 183 191 119 69 50 23 0
VODI 0 73 208 161 142 105 81 0
ODI 0 10 148 147 200 139 95 0
CDI 0 1 48 69 155 306 412 33
VCDI 0 0 27 61 136 325 5677 4266
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15243 6764 665 218 62 15 2 0
OW 0 199 251 83 28 32 13 0
VODI 0 76 235 137 92 87 41 0
ODI 0 30 112 132 97 119 114 0
CDI 0 26 84 145 156 156 337 40
VCDI 0 39 71 124 265 548 5514 4715
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15243 6744 662 220 63 23 5 0
OW 0 196 231 77 30 30 11 0
VODI 0 95 250 140 91 94 57 0
ODI 0 30 118 122 87 113 122 2
CDI 0 14 68 151 152 120 305 34
VCDI 0 55 89 129 277 577 5521 4719

Date: 2015-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14978 7322 938 390 75 9 1 0
OW 0 330 325 190 101 37 11 0
VODI 0 105 189 225 112 73 72 0
ODI 0 45 49 125 117 119 192 0
CDI 0 23 36 105 153 240 463 2
VCDI 0 3 43 175 362 544 5582 3206
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14978 6753 779 295 48 4 0 0
OW 0 357 112 106 32 17 18 0
VODI 0 347 140 120 72 55 52 0
ODI 0 130 110 131 78 86 92 0
CDI 0 92 120 128 101 145 267 3
VCDI 0 149 319 430 589 715 5892 3205

Date: 2015-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15218 6731 844 142 29 8 1 0
OW 0 251 304 145 45 6 2 0
VODI 0 249 301 186 90 59 24 0
ODI 0 127 312 236 157 92 155 1
CDI 0 29 89 170 183 181 421 5
VCDI 0 38 42 209 439 661 5675 3210
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15218 6399 719 130 33 6 0 0
OW 0 236 238 96 33 7 4 0
VODI 0 271 208 110 56 36 36 0
ODI 0 214 203 73 55 81 93 0
CDI 0 142 206 136 104 122 255 0
VCDI 0 163 318 543 662 755 5890 3216

Date: 2015-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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