Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2015-11-12
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2015-11-06:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
19595 |
5358 |
127 |
353 |
87 |
36 |
44 |
0 |
| OW |
31 |
547 |
49 |
111 |
77 |
25 |
8 |
0 |
| VODI |
21 |
346 |
47 |
144 |
186 |
100 |
7 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
169 |
23 |
93 |
140 |
246 |
24 |
1 |
| CDI |
0 |
36 |
8 |
18 |
94 |
437 |
168 |
11 |
| VCDI |
0 |
21 |
3 |
33 |
97 |
1024 |
3790 |
3332 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2015-11-10:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
18992 |
6118 |
782 |
232 |
130 |
65 |
32 |
0 |
| OW |
2 |
269 |
279 |
136 |
84 |
40 |
9 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
58 |
95 |
216 |
166 |
114 |
35 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
11 |
29 |
70 |
115 |
170 |
68 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
9 |
23 |
57 |
69 |
296 |
248 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
1 |
12 |
34 |
91 |
579 |
4791 |
2540 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2015-11-12:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
18613 |
6302 |
500 |
189 |
104 |
84 |
47 |
0 |
| OW |
4 |
644 |
326 |
116 |
82 |
30 |
6 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
155 |
180 |
199 |
204 |
140 |
31 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
14 |
46 |
67 |
120 |
240 |
103 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
8 |
43 |
55 |
68 |
251 |
227 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
1 |
26 |
50 |
134 |
587 |
4472 |
2599 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
18617 |
6486 |
538 |
193 |
116 |
85 |
48 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
491 |
269 |
111 |
77 |
35 |
4 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
121 |
199 |
194 |
176 |
136 |
27 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
20 |
53 |
77 |
134 |
256 |
111 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
6 |
43 |
54 |
69 |
231 |
237 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
19 |
47 |
140 |
589 |
4459 |
2599 |
|
Date: 2015-11-16:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
18681 |
6801 |
731 |
182 |
87 |
77 |
122 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
86 |
233 |
192 |
131 |
41 |
5 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
9 |
86 |
109 |
232 |
209 |
32 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
2 |
34 |
57 |
134 |
262 |
185 |
5 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
19 |
58 |
146 |
192 |
581 |
26 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
56 |
142 |
3404 |
3712 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
18671 |
5918 |
410 |
117 |
79 |
85 |
122 |
0 |
| OW |
10 |
499 |
170 |
84 |
115 |
32 |
6 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
416 |
267 |
118 |
181 |
171 |
31 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
45 |
127 |
113 |
129 |
247 |
163 |
6 |
| CDI |
0 |
20 |
82 |
64 |
84 |
134 |
375 |
28 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
47 |
108 |
198 |
254 |
3632 |
3709 |
|
Date: 2015-11-18:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
18351 |
6929 |
655 |
105 |
72 |
86 |
97 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
259 |
357 |
142 |
107 |
37 |
9 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
40 |
185 |
163 |
224 |
168 |
52 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
14 |
61 |
59 |
93 |
179 |
219 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
9 |
39 |
68 |
67 |
105 |
396 |
1 |
| VCDI |
0 |
3 |
5 |
22 |
73 |
295 |
4387 |
2934 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
18335 |
6113 |
487 |
85 |
94 |
96 |
102 |
0 |
| OW |
16 |
585 |
227 |
75 |
77 |
48 |
15 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
459 |
254 |
147 |
136 |
108 |
79 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
49 |
121 |
84 |
125 |
160 |
194 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
19 |
101 |
67 |
76 |
98 |
324 |
1 |
| VCDI |
0 |
29 |
112 |
101 |
128 |
360 |
4446 |
2934 |
|
Date: 2015-11-20:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
17724 |
6881 |
605 |
228 |
164 |
128 |
102 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
504 |
333 |
110 |
65 |
61 |
8 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
81 |
400 |
298 |
171 |
85 |
15 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
8 |
65 |
152 |
175 |
167 |
118 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
4 |
20 |
78 |
131 |
162 |
245 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
6 |
25 |
119 |
516 |
4993 |
2120 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
17716 |
6243 |
559 |
202 |
157 |
148 |
104 |
0 |
| OW |
8 |
614 |
243 |
106 |
56 |
32 |
7 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
552 |
331 |
177 |
102 |
89 |
29 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
54 |
161 |
153 |
125 |
117 |
107 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
11 |
95 |
117 |
121 |
154 |
169 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
4 |
40 |
136 |
264 |
579 |
5065 |
2120 |
|
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