Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2015-07-23
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2015-07-17:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
18335 |
7897 |
1370 |
488 |
248 |
80 |
66 |
5 |
OW |
0 |
19 |
100 |
198 |
84 |
44 |
63 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
0 |
42 |
153 |
242 |
163 |
146 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
102 |
213 |
253 |
577 |
1 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
43 |
154 |
252 |
1926 |
1299 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
30 |
899 |
1565 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2015-07-21:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
18997 |
8183 |
1017 |
420 |
182 |
87 |
34 |
4 |
OW |
0 |
22 |
89 |
106 |
142 |
42 |
45 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
9 |
35 |
65 |
218 |
158 |
143 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
10 |
21 |
114 |
235 |
628 |
1 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
19 |
61 |
1681 |
3255 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
534 |
495 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2015-07-23:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
19419 |
8297 |
555 |
390 |
161 |
57 |
90 |
4 |
OW |
0 |
64 |
48 |
147 |
92 |
52 |
70 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
31 |
34 |
118 |
203 |
118 |
201 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
7 |
7 |
39 |
150 |
186 |
640 |
1 |
CDI |
0 |
1 |
1 |
25 |
39 |
72 |
1801 |
2901 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
282 |
762 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
19419 |
8317 |
557 |
411 |
174 |
66 |
102 |
4 |
OW |
0 |
50 |
54 |
134 |
89 |
41 |
76 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
26 |
25 |
117 |
206 |
135 |
203 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
7 |
8 |
33 |
132 |
166 |
488 |
1 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
24 |
44 |
77 |
2005 |
2952 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
210 |
711 |
|
Date: 2015-07-27:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
19692 |
7708 |
944 |
465 |
239 |
101 |
46 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
9 |
111 |
139 |
98 |
91 |
59 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
0 |
33 |
99 |
177 |
292 |
183 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
41 |
334 |
572 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
13 |
24 |
1837 |
2403 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
6 |
277 |
1055 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
19692 |
7695 |
914 |
491 |
272 |
146 |
62 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
18 |
106 |
97 |
103 |
129 |
90 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
4 |
57 |
94 |
129 |
302 |
178 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
11 |
37 |
47 |
206 |
589 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
17 |
59 |
1891 |
2728 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
6 |
164 |
730 |
|
Date: 2015-07-29:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
20702 |
7698 |
224 |
414 |
298 |
71 |
39 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
82 |
26 |
119 |
161 |
71 |
23 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
27 |
13 |
97 |
319 |
246 |
148 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
3 |
2 |
30 |
138 |
246 |
582 |
5 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
34 |
86 |
1779 |
2773 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
6 |
57 |
546 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
20702 |
7618 |
223 |
429 |
328 |
92 |
53 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
117 |
14 |
109 |
185 |
101 |
22 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
59 |
24 |
94 |
283 |
222 |
154 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
15 |
4 |
26 |
118 |
177 |
593 |
8 |
CDI |
0 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
36 |
129 |
1739 |
3227 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
5 |
67 |
89 |
|
Date: 2015-07-31:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
20031 |
8097 |
726 |
473 |
197 |
36 |
44 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
23 |
79 |
171 |
163 |
59 |
43 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
0 |
25 |
139 |
328 |
195 |
209 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
28 |
110 |
168 |
665 |
20 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
38 |
43 |
1614 |
2982 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
6 |
58 |
292 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
20031 |
8079 |
717 |
468 |
231 |
68 |
59 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
23 |
80 |
168 |
191 |
78 |
52 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
16 |
22 |
135 |
254 |
167 |
266 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
2 |
13 |
32 |
107 |
123 |
597 |
18 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
53 |
66 |
1637 |
3275 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
5 |
22 |
1 |
|
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