Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2015-07-09
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2015-07-03:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
16741 |
6841 |
1832 |
943 |
666 |
205 |
140 |
4 |
OW |
0 |
3 |
58 |
131 |
221 |
196 |
136 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
0 |
17 |
78 |
176 |
302 |
248 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
6 |
30 |
53 |
262 |
343 |
1 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
76 |
131 |
428 |
1254 |
66 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
34 |
2068 |
3368 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2015-07-07:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
16631 |
7524 |
1535 |
1277 |
671 |
211 |
54 |
5 |
OW |
0 |
0 |
28 |
141 |
215 |
141 |
31 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
74 |
253 |
249 |
72 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
33 |
161 |
416 |
192 |
1 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
142 |
645 |
1142 |
928 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
52 |
1443 |
2781 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2015-07-09:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
17826 |
7776 |
1131 |
741 |
367 |
114 |
47 |
5 |
OW |
0 |
55 |
115 |
130 |
140 |
72 |
53 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
23 |
86 |
118 |
212 |
159 |
66 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
8 |
40 |
90 |
259 |
210 |
120 |
36 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
9 |
110 |
388 |
349 |
1370 |
1217 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
31 |
27 |
109 |
1267 |
2191 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
17826 |
7780 |
1132 |
744 |
395 |
129 |
57 |
5 |
OW |
0 |
49 |
117 |
121 |
133 |
66 |
34 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
24 |
86 |
121 |
189 |
142 |
77 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
9 |
35 |
92 |
270 |
243 |
151 |
48 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
10 |
108 |
371 |
323 |
1296 |
1012 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
34 |
35 |
110 |
1308 |
2384 |
|
Date: 2015-07-13:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
18907 |
7648 |
815 |
503 |
186 |
132 |
61 |
5 |
OW |
0 |
68 |
106 |
149 |
120 |
39 |
62 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
2 |
46 |
101 |
163 |
242 |
163 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
41 |
97 |
266 |
593 |
1 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
72 |
107 |
1986 |
735 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
17 |
1387 |
2230 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
18907 |
7598 |
821 |
468 |
209 |
179 |
79 |
5 |
OW |
0 |
85 |
56 |
101 |
78 |
103 |
72 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
35 |
74 |
89 |
85 |
154 |
247 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
15 |
85 |
93 |
143 |
449 |
10 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
60 |
129 |
170 |
2747 |
1236 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
50 |
54 |
658 |
1720 |
|
Date: 2015-07-15:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
18103 |
8353 |
957 |
543 |
335 |
68 |
59 |
5 |
OW |
0 |
13 |
83 |
123 |
161 |
55 |
58 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
3 |
22 |
93 |
282 |
157 |
140 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
66 |
242 |
211 |
407 |
1 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
14 |
129 |
195 |
1819 |
1090 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
1242 |
2022 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
18103 |
8248 |
874 |
517 |
380 |
103 |
79 |
5 |
OW |
0 |
80 |
76 |
77 |
134 |
54 |
64 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
31 |
85 |
73 |
158 |
110 |
202 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
9 |
26 |
78 |
174 |
126 |
381 |
1 |
CDI |
0 |
1 |
6 |
92 |
239 |
248 |
2579 |
2129 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
64 |
56 |
420 |
983 |
|
Date: 2015-07-17:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
18335 |
7897 |
1370 |
488 |
248 |
80 |
66 |
5 |
OW |
0 |
19 |
100 |
198 |
84 |
44 |
63 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
0 |
42 |
153 |
242 |
163 |
146 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
102 |
213 |
253 |
577 |
1 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
43 |
154 |
252 |
1926 |
1299 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
30 |
899 |
1565 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
18335 |
7700 |
1185 |
517 |
320 |
122 |
106 |
5 |
OW |
0 |
99 |
95 |
100 |
84 |
52 |
68 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
71 |
98 |
85 |
111 |
105 |
216 |
2 |
ODI |
0 |
29 |
84 |
97 |
148 |
118 |
390 |
5 |
CDI |
0 |
17 |
49 |
166 |
177 |
374 |
2645 |
2459 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
3 |
19 |
109 |
51 |
252 |
399 |
|
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