Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2015-06-11
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2015-06-05:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16388 |
6300 |
1123 |
359 |
144 |
39 |
52 |
3 |
| OW |
0 |
42 |
267 |
138 |
131 |
63 |
60 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
6 |
151 |
186 |
165 |
145 |
175 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
51 |
103 |
123 |
132 |
320 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
42 |
70 |
102 |
306 |
2299 |
1 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
8 |
15 |
16 |
45 |
3936 |
3561 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2015-06-09:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16536 |
5789 |
1447 |
540 |
298 |
60 |
53 |
4 |
| OW |
0 |
11 |
114 |
187 |
262 |
121 |
62 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
1 |
46 |
94 |
252 |
273 |
225 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
15 |
29 |
103 |
201 |
553 |
1 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
11 |
27 |
90 |
289 |
2086 |
3 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
9 |
27 |
3033 |
4212 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2015-06-11:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16623 |
5713 |
1526 |
679 |
272 |
97 |
40 |
4 |
| OW |
0 |
16 |
135 |
210 |
186 |
228 |
88 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
3 |
82 |
147 |
219 |
212 |
171 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
35 |
60 |
144 |
173 |
449 |
1 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
6 |
38 |
117 |
428 |
1701 |
1 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
11 |
36 |
3067 |
4146 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16623 |
5717 |
1556 |
720 |
288 |
108 |
61 |
4 |
| OW |
0 |
11 |
112 |
174 |
175 |
156 |
62 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
4 |
78 |
146 |
208 |
271 |
186 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
32 |
58 |
148 |
181 |
420 |
1 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
6 |
36 |
119 |
417 |
1727 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
11 |
41 |
3060 |
4147 |
|
Date: 2015-06-15:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16122 |
6566 |
1730 |
786 |
314 |
68 |
69 |
5 |
| OW |
0 |
54 |
200 |
259 |
186 |
89 |
43 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
7 |
46 |
163 |
241 |
269 |
124 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
20 |
67 |
110 |
278 |
494 |
1 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
32 |
102 |
262 |
1527 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
7 |
22 |
2619 |
4179 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16122 |
6509 |
1642 |
785 |
387 |
152 |
93 |
5 |
| OW |
0 |
81 |
116 |
174 |
204 |
134 |
52 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
32 |
124 |
144 |
113 |
194 |
162 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
5 |
71 |
111 |
95 |
167 |
453 |
1 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
44 |
75 |
116 |
292 |
1497 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
3 |
20 |
45 |
49 |
2619 |
4179 |
|
Date: 2015-06-17:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16333 |
6452 |
2120 |
634 |
317 |
175 |
90 |
5 |
| OW |
0 |
14 |
142 |
156 |
192 |
143 |
83 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
73 |
94 |
127 |
253 |
273 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
38 |
60 |
79 |
129 |
513 |
1 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
22 |
65 |
103 |
215 |
1714 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
10 |
13 |
2421 |
4004 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16333 |
6386 |
1932 |
599 |
366 |
279 |
147 |
5 |
| OW |
0 |
61 |
148 |
104 |
144 |
110 |
117 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
19 |
163 |
115 |
90 |
164 |
227 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
72 |
85 |
85 |
132 |
437 |
1 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
74 |
91 |
109 |
213 |
1636 |
25 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
6 |
19 |
34 |
30 |
2530 |
3979 |
|
Date: 2015-06-19:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16253 |
6482 |
2081 |
783 |
451 |
129 |
98 |
5 |
| OW |
0 |
53 |
109 |
132 |
255 |
135 |
102 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
18 |
65 |
94 |
125 |
235 |
261 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
6 |
40 |
63 |
111 |
134 |
504 |
1 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
17 |
54 |
83 |
240 |
1971 |
5 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
6 |
8 |
1969 |
3982 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
16253 |
6376 |
1914 |
746 |
530 |
184 |
125 |
5 |
| OW |
0 |
78 |
139 |
89 |
131 |
92 |
122 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
71 |
108 |
112 |
136 |
198 |
185 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
31 |
65 |
74 |
93 |
148 |
544 |
1 |
| CDI |
0 |
3 |
84 |
84 |
111 |
199 |
1926 |
44 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
28 |
30 |
60 |
2003 |
3943 |
|
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