Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2015-06-04

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2015-05-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16488 5533 795 445 138 18 28 0
OW 0 31 230 180 113 40 23 2
VODI 0 3 185 199 173 116 153 2
ODI 0 0 69 133 160 169 317 4
CDI 0 0 19 67 132 225 2174 15
VCDI 0 104 7 76 58 132 5336 2975
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-06-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16594 5650 1268 557 109 27 31 3
OW 0 12 159 254 118 50 18 0
VODI 0 4 87 211 209 159 91 0
ODI 0 0 44 105 156 218 272 0
CDI 0 0 27 71 100 262 2048 4
VCDI 0 0 9 17 40 112 4726 3245
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-06-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15942 6775 1035 439 145 35 42 3
OW 0 49 227 170 89 64 62 0
VODI 0 7 145 201 127 150 146 0
ODI 0 0 55 114 136 139 293 2
CDI 0 0 19 73 108 275 2188 0
VCDI 0 0 3 17 19 66 4011 3696
...forecast not produced

Date: 2015-06-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16431 5832 1321 557 268 56 44 4
OW 0 27 126 247 188 71 49 0
VODI 0 1 42 178 280 235 209 0
ODI 0 0 6 48 129 265 535 1
CDI 0 0 0 31 94 396 1939 4
VCDI 0 0 0 0 17 37 3170 4229
...forecast not produced

Date: 2015-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16249 5656 1789 731 280 82 51 4
OW 0 8 131 244 203 174 74 0
VODI 0 0 51 142 253 254 160 0
ODI 0 0 17 36 153 178 446 1
CDI 0 0 10 36 109 385 2018 1
VCDI 0 0 0 2 5 16 2894 4224
...forecast not produced

Date: 2015-06-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16438 5885 1647 719 283 64 56 5
OW 0 47 172 211 267 123 88 0
VODI 0 28 91 179 191 155 165 0
ODI 0 8 53 92 159 144 398 1
CDI 0 0 24 75 209 352 1419 1
VCDI 0 0 0 30 56 85 3072 4075
...forecast not produced


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