Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2015-05-07
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2015-05-01:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
...observations not yet available
|
...observations not yet available
|
Date: 2015-05-05:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14017 |
6701 |
581 |
367 |
119 |
32 |
8 |
0 |
| OW |
10 |
36 |
109 |
107 |
67 |
15 |
29 |
0 |
| VODI |
2 |
13 |
62 |
139 |
121 |
47 |
73 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
16 |
22 |
92 |
165 |
108 |
130 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
3 |
32 |
56 |
232 |
265 |
859 |
8 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
104 |
432 |
7561 |
4323 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2015-05-07:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
13691 |
6800 |
942 |
300 |
82 |
25 |
4 |
0 |
| OW |
7 |
5 |
150 |
119 |
61 |
27 |
27 |
0 |
| VODI |
2 |
0 |
84 |
158 |
104 |
47 |
59 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
23 |
104 |
160 |
102 |
105 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
12 |
92 |
178 |
251 |
626 |
4 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
44 |
142 |
686 |
8551 |
3293 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
13693 |
6800 |
957 |
305 |
82 |
31 |
6 |
0 |
| OW |
5 |
5 |
138 |
116 |
58 |
24 |
21 |
0 |
| VODI |
2 |
0 |
80 |
154 |
106 |
40 |
66 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
24 |
104 |
156 |
97 |
116 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
12 |
85 |
176 |
255 |
689 |
5 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
53 |
149 |
691 |
8474 |
3292 |
|
Date: 2015-05-11:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14405 |
6655 |
745 |
267 |
30 |
7 |
11 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
31 |
187 |
165 |
33 |
21 |
29 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
0 |
99 |
242 |
103 |
60 |
55 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
28 |
98 |
134 |
152 |
131 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
8 |
81 |
133 |
481 |
1441 |
5 |
| VCDI |
0 |
92 |
6 |
59 |
42 |
362 |
7697 |
2972 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14403 |
6511 |
639 |
263 |
29 |
13 |
15 |
0 |
| OW |
2 |
105 |
113 |
54 |
26 |
19 |
32 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
62 |
155 |
141 |
37 |
24 |
49 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
8 |
95 |
165 |
77 |
79 |
94 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
46 |
154 |
163 |
277 |
690 |
2 |
| VCDI |
0 |
92 |
25 |
135 |
143 |
671 |
8484 |
2975 |
|
Date: 2015-05-13:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14678 |
6640 |
631 |
185 |
40 |
6 |
15 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
21 |
175 |
148 |
51 |
22 |
28 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
2 |
90 |
161 |
65 |
89 |
72 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
41 |
95 |
100 |
135 |
159 |
1 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
19 |
119 |
134 |
449 |
1520 |
4 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
3 |
35 |
84 |
194 |
6931 |
3925 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
14678 |
6421 |
489 |
157 |
34 |
15 |
31 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
144 |
123 |
36 |
36 |
15 |
29 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
66 |
153 |
120 |
42 |
38 |
61 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
28 |
82 |
139 |
56 |
95 |
126 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
4 |
79 |
163 |
122 |
236 |
998 |
5 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
33 |
128 |
184 |
496 |
7480 |
3925 |
|
Date: 2015-05-15:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15318 |
6147 |
370 |
215 |
77 |
22 |
14 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
52 |
76 |
145 |
105 |
42 |
58 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
15 |
57 |
152 |
76 |
118 |
115 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
2 |
35 |
90 |
81 |
145 |
214 |
3 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
27 |
75 |
157 |
437 |
1722 |
4 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
16 |
17 |
55 |
132 |
6053 |
4628 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
15318 |
6002 |
325 |
198 |
73 |
28 |
31 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
108 |
69 |
72 |
69 |
43 |
29 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
58 |
67 |
75 |
61 |
70 |
110 |
2 |
| ODI |
0 |
29 |
23 |
105 |
79 |
83 |
188 |
9 |
| CDI |
0 |
19 |
49 |
123 |
126 |
198 |
1126 |
23 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
48 |
121 |
143 |
474 |
6692 |
4601 |
|
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