Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2015-04-02

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2015-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13244 5721 597 210 79 1 0 0
OW 0 80 293 114 53 13 5 0
VODI 0 44 197 181 122 63 15 0
ODI 0 5 109 145 188 107 31 0
CDI 0 0 64 121 278 202 321 3
VCDI 0 0 33 126 513 1456 7663 4670
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13575 6004 777 200 65 10 1 0
OW 0 78 207 174 109 31 8 0
VODI 0 63 113 167 164 141 13 0
ODI 0 28 73 71 107 168 78 0
CDI 0 15 53 93 118 180 348 36
VCDI 0 3 66 148 199 414 7348 5621
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2015-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2015-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13449 6394 979 238 102 27 7 0
OW 3 91 320 209 87 48 16 0
VODI 0 27 245 153 131 91 33 0
ODI 0 10 158 102 88 64 60 4
CDI 4 2 142 199 186 187 621 9
VCDI 5 0 37 69 105 293 8066 4006
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13452 6238 856 287 111 57 12 0
OW 0 122 237 119 62 40 6 0
VODI 0 72 213 110 100 64 47 0
ODI 0 47 158 115 102 61 82 2
CDI 2 23 208 138 117 178 472 11
VCDI 7 22 209 201 207 310 8184 4006

Date: 2015-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13520 6321 920 276 84 33 6 0
OW 0 160 340 174 104 77 4 0
VODI 0 85 175 138 121 86 28 1
ODI 0 57 90 111 110 109 96 1
CDI 0 37 118 105 177 176 482 5
VCDI 0 0 76 162 206 309 7828 4159
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13520 6152 846 268 92 40 13 0
OW 0 156 207 90 72 48 7 0
VODI 0 104 195 115 104 110 39 0
ODI 0 59 112 126 102 105 119 5
CDI 0 78 109 120 143 160 469 13
VCDI 0 111 250 247 289 327 7797 4148


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