Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2015-02-05
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2015-01-30:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
13857 |
5325 |
292 |
178 |
79 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
OW |
4 |
156 |
89 |
106 |
93 |
32 |
7 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
127 |
57 |
106 |
144 |
103 |
30 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
72 |
42 |
76 |
126 |
156 |
96 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
50 |
27 |
53 |
161 |
312 |
331 |
21 |
VCDI |
0 |
48 |
71 |
115 |
209 |
514 |
5155 |
8632 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2015-02-03:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
13011 |
5420 |
919 |
265 |
98 |
22 |
2 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
88 |
103 |
88 |
82 |
37 |
17 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
43 |
111 |
76 |
87 |
85 |
53 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
13 |
92 |
95 |
99 |
148 |
116 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
3 |
83 |
84 |
125 |
274 |
498 |
4 |
VCDI |
0 |
8 |
73 |
108 |
190 |
650 |
8625 |
5172 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2015-02-05:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
13269 |
5281 |
648 |
187 |
85 |
49 |
16 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
204 |
179 |
77 |
66 |
34 |
29 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
94 |
164 |
99 |
109 |
48 |
82 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
58 |
63 |
95 |
124 |
81 |
170 |
3 |
CDI |
0 |
51 |
59 |
59 |
171 |
245 |
616 |
30 |
VCDI |
0 |
71 |
129 |
117 |
204 |
389 |
8241 |
5371 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
13269 |
5311 |
641 |
185 |
92 |
47 |
12 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
169 |
177 |
70 |
56 |
34 |
24 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
93 |
172 |
104 |
105 |
44 |
88 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
49 |
64 |
95 |
122 |
81 |
159 |
4 |
CDI |
0 |
57 |
41 |
65 |
172 |
245 |
634 |
28 |
VCDI |
0 |
80 |
147 |
115 |
212 |
395 |
8237 |
5372 |
|
Date: 2015-02-09:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
12916 |
5669 |
574 |
231 |
106 |
30 |
8 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
136 |
144 |
89 |
60 |
46 |
26 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
128 |
110 |
121 |
122 |
73 |
45 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
28 |
62 |
51 |
123 |
175 |
143 |
14 |
CDI |
0 |
12 |
83 |
84 |
161 |
256 |
458 |
81 |
VCDI |
0 |
55 |
111 |
151 |
246 |
721 |
8174 |
5244 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
12916 |
5382 |
481 |
209 |
100 |
23 |
14 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
153 |
94 |
75 |
59 |
40 |
17 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
170 |
104 |
79 |
95 |
94 |
63 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
110 |
83 |
60 |
100 |
119 |
147 |
8 |
CDI |
0 |
87 |
81 |
67 |
159 |
264 |
387 |
68 |
VCDI |
0 |
126 |
241 |
237 |
305 |
761 |
8226 |
5263 |
|
Date: 2015-02-11:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
12488 |
5469 |
868 |
320 |
74 |
22 |
4 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
100 |
111 |
114 |
69 |
27 |
18 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
77 |
109 |
128 |
107 |
46 |
50 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
45 |
64 |
106 |
97 |
72 |
105 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
16 |
82 |
74 |
169 |
142 |
281 |
63 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
143 |
246 |
504 |
1136 |
8322 |
5199 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
12488 |
5383 |
817 |
278 |
86 |
27 |
4 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
93 |
115 |
111 |
40 |
45 |
31 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
88 |
112 |
130 |
115 |
81 |
92 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
52 |
64 |
110 |
134 |
100 |
165 |
27 |
CDI |
0 |
55 |
56 |
97 |
155 |
157 |
351 |
109 |
VCDI |
0 |
36 |
213 |
262 |
490 |
1035 |
8137 |
5126 |
|
Date: 2015-02-13:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
12563 |
5456 |
569 |
274 |
80 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
127 |
164 |
107 |
62 |
23 |
2 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
48 |
118 |
161 |
117 |
69 |
20 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
12 |
65 |
116 |
115 |
115 |
61 |
6 |
CDI |
0 |
1 |
39 |
104 |
169 |
192 |
202 |
41 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
81 |
190 |
375 |
874 |
8337 |
6003 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
12563 |
5387 |
543 |
265 |
72 |
12 |
1 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
128 |
128 |
82 |
46 |
18 |
4 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
81 |
137 |
150 |
128 |
53 |
28 |
4 |
ODI |
0 |
28 |
55 |
97 |
121 |
152 |
60 |
17 |
CDI |
0 |
16 |
60 |
103 |
133 |
202 |
291 |
75 |
VCDI |
0 |
4 |
113 |
255 |
418 |
845 |
8238 |
5954 |
|
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