Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2014-12-25

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14524 6215 429 166 62 36 144 0
OW 0 148 108 131 94 32 22 0
VODI 0 152 99 141 196 119 30 0
ODI 0 51 112 117 140 214 99 0
CDI 0 32 57 93 88 232 383 0
VCDI 0 46 125 167 265 552 7824 3622
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14348 6131 498 144 69 44 72 0
OW 0 133 106 75 40 34 17 0
VODI 0 98 99 73 101 49 32 0
ODI 0 53 95 121 167 102 58 0
CDI 0 30 91 105 156 146 337 5
VCDI 0 14 68 163 249 470 8286 4188
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2014-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12962 5911 1196 358 87 64 85 0
OW 0 110 115 121 41 37 32 0
VODI 0 21 61 172 63 55 65 0
ODI 0 14 29 99 97 78 74 0
CDI 0 11 29 70 172 156 210 9
VCDI 0 8 26 28 126 975 8457 4843
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12962 5795 1010 265 102 103 130 0
OW 0 139 164 96 28 49 34 0
VODI 0 76 136 177 37 46 70 0
ODI 0 19 43 139 62 43 85 0
CDI 0 19 40 88 120 89 177 8
VCDI 0 27 63 83 237 1035 8427 4844

Date: 2014-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2015-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13532 6054 575 150 37 23 20 0
OW 0 245 188 96 51 15 3 0
VODI 0 151 228 135 74 24 22 0
ODI 0 73 141 129 92 43 30 2
CDI 0 42 114 154 150 96 156 28
VCDI 0 40 125 367 486 601 7080 5495
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13532 5922 482 186 79 47 35 0
OW 0 301 164 69 52 19 7 0
VODI 0 186 209 109 72 32 32 0
ODI 0 63 166 116 89 38 85 7
CDI 0 46 155 157 101 65 181 100
VCDI 0 87 195 394 497 601 6971 5418


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