Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2014-12-18

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-12-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14570 6251 541 137 67 30 130 0
OW 0 116 199 112 59 17 11 0
VODI 0 39 151 148 104 58 27 0
ODI 0 5 120 163 80 60 63 0
CDI 0 4 67 171 136 97 226 4
VCDI 0 16 47 246 351 582 7719 4143
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15088 5618 772 193 45 72 102 0
OW 46 48 198 196 92 38 13 0
VODI 44 15 95 282 206 76 27 0
ODI 11 3 47 140 145 129 72 0
CDI 2 10 25 134 136 191 333 0
VCDI 0 24 47 142 277 462 7654 3817
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14672 6309 267 169 70 74 121 0
OW 0 205 105 157 97 41 12 0
VODI 0 136 100 194 197 127 31 0
ODI 0 39 118 140 97 152 121 0
CDI 0 17 71 82 105 159 379 0
VCDI 0 26 110 172 247 597 7397 3954
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14672 6322 287 184 85 74 124 0
OW 0 157 86 149 69 37 9 0
VODI 0 170 113 194 197 126 31 0
ODI 0 38 105 129 121 160 124 0
CDI 0 16 67 88 90 156 352 0
VCDI 0 29 113 170 251 597 7421 3954

Date: 2014-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14424 6141 552 185 51 27 110 0
OW 0 108 116 83 34 22 18 0
VODI 0 81 169 139 134 37 24 0
ODI 0 51 97 125 254 131 82 2
CDI 0 49 65 97 163 179 340 14
VCDI 0 7 23 109 279 476 7979 4090
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14424 5975 523 166 54 27 121 0
OW 0 140 73 107 51 21 14 0
VODI 0 120 115 108 150 53 16 0
ODI 0 65 117 66 129 84 72 0
CDI 0 68 95 93 158 134 283 17
VCDI 0 69 99 198 373 553 8047 4089

Date: 2014-12-24:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2014-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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