Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2014-10-09

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-10-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 22016 4775 752 282 86 16 1 0
OW 0 45 115 163 127 23 1 0
VODI 0 13 59 87 176 68 17 0
ODI 0 6 22 77 122 94 47 0
CDI 0 0 17 74 132 193 162 0
VCDI 0 0 1 80 154 290 3165 3609
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-10-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 22771 4577 398 139 44 15 0 0
OW 2 67 100 68 45 32 1 0
VODI 0 26 89 122 155 77 11 0
ODI 0 8 40 88 179 98 37 0
CDI 0 3 23 97 119 196 325 0
VCDI 0 0 4 62 188 255 2926 3680
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-10-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 22631 4336 552 136 59 19 3 0
OW 4 94 136 73 71 23 14 0
VODI 0 21 102 61 128 64 19 0
ODI 0 3 49 69 164 72 30 0
CDI 0 3 41 81 167 169 227 0
VCDI 0 0 10 99 196 473 3003 3665
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 22635 4347 557 167 71 27 5 0
OW 0 67 149 44 64 18 14 0
VODI 0 37 85 70 115 66 15 0
ODI 0 3 49 60 178 82 38 0
CDI 0 3 38 75 145 148 222 0
VCDI 0 0 12 103 212 479 3002 3665

Date: 2014-10-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20434 5102 953 299 78 10 0 0
OW 10 214 197 122 75 13 3 0
VODI 0 13 78 144 119 29 7 0
ODI 0 1 25 74 152 107 20 0
CDI 0 3 21 35 109 339 245 1
VCDI 0 0 6 49 153 439 3353 4035
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20443 5269 994 338 151 21 2 0
OW 1 22 89 102 64 29 7 0
VODI 0 20 108 128 121 59 7 0
ODI 0 10 36 50 95 117 25 0
CDI 0 9 21 29 75 201 107 1
VCDI 0 3 32 76 180 510 3480 4035

Date: 2014-10-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19760 5279 710 324 155 16 0 0
OW 36 376 227 112 103 15 3 0
VODI 0 76 126 121 142 42 8 0
ODI 0 1 23 73 161 102 14 0
CDI 0 0 11 27 115 218 105 0
VCDI 0 0 10 51 109 448 4292 3676
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19789 5684 852 376 257 24 3 0
OW 7 24 114 106 87 37 5 0
VODI 0 15 89 113 170 93 5 0
ODI 0 3 11 39 93 125 31 0
CDI 0 6 18 11 70 149 116 0
VCDI 0 0 23 63 108 413 4262 3676

Date: 2014-10-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18669 5268 940 221 191 76 16 0
OW 0 90 557 248 255 53 51 0
VODI 0 5 146 163 322 64 47 0
ODI 0 1 32 59 143 107 61 0
CDI 0 0 15 16 70 179 204 4
VCDI 0 0 8 20 48 229 4015 4474
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18669 5346 1526 499 514 133 70 0
OW 0 15 93 77 183 61 35 0
VODI 0 3 54 98 203 110 69 0
ODI 0 0 14 27 66 112 112 0
CDI 0 0 9 14 28 119 254 4
VCDI 0 0 2 12 35 173 3854 4474


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