Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2014-10-09
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2014-10-03:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
22016 |
4775 |
752 |
282 |
86 |
16 |
1 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
45 |
115 |
163 |
127 |
23 |
1 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
13 |
59 |
87 |
176 |
68 |
17 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
6 |
22 |
77 |
122 |
94 |
47 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
17 |
74 |
132 |
193 |
162 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
80 |
154 |
290 |
3165 |
3609 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2014-10-07:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
22771 |
4577 |
398 |
139 |
44 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
OW |
2 |
67 |
100 |
68 |
45 |
32 |
1 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
26 |
89 |
122 |
155 |
77 |
11 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
8 |
40 |
88 |
179 |
98 |
37 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
3 |
23 |
97 |
119 |
196 |
325 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
62 |
188 |
255 |
2926 |
3680 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2014-10-09:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
22631 |
4336 |
552 |
136 |
59 |
19 |
3 |
0 |
OW |
4 |
94 |
136 |
73 |
71 |
23 |
14 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
21 |
102 |
61 |
128 |
64 |
19 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
3 |
49 |
69 |
164 |
72 |
30 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
3 |
41 |
81 |
167 |
169 |
227 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
10 |
99 |
196 |
473 |
3003 |
3665 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
22635 |
4347 |
557 |
167 |
71 |
27 |
5 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
67 |
149 |
44 |
64 |
18 |
14 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
37 |
85 |
70 |
115 |
66 |
15 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
3 |
49 |
60 |
178 |
82 |
38 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
3 |
38 |
75 |
145 |
148 |
222 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
12 |
103 |
212 |
479 |
3002 |
3665 |
|
Date: 2014-10-13:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
20434 |
5102 |
953 |
299 |
78 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
OW |
10 |
214 |
197 |
122 |
75 |
13 |
3 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
13 |
78 |
144 |
119 |
29 |
7 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
1 |
25 |
74 |
152 |
107 |
20 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
3 |
21 |
35 |
109 |
339 |
245 |
1 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
6 |
49 |
153 |
439 |
3353 |
4035 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
20443 |
5269 |
994 |
338 |
151 |
21 |
2 |
0 |
OW |
1 |
22 |
89 |
102 |
64 |
29 |
7 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
20 |
108 |
128 |
121 |
59 |
7 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
10 |
36 |
50 |
95 |
117 |
25 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
9 |
21 |
29 |
75 |
201 |
107 |
1 |
VCDI |
0 |
3 |
32 |
76 |
180 |
510 |
3480 |
4035 |
|
Date: 2014-10-15:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
19760 |
5279 |
710 |
324 |
155 |
16 |
0 |
0 |
OW |
36 |
376 |
227 |
112 |
103 |
15 |
3 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
76 |
126 |
121 |
142 |
42 |
8 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
1 |
23 |
73 |
161 |
102 |
14 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
11 |
27 |
115 |
218 |
105 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
10 |
51 |
109 |
448 |
4292 |
3676 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
19789 |
5684 |
852 |
376 |
257 |
24 |
3 |
0 |
OW |
7 |
24 |
114 |
106 |
87 |
37 |
5 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
15 |
89 |
113 |
170 |
93 |
5 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
3 |
11 |
39 |
93 |
125 |
31 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
6 |
18 |
11 |
70 |
149 |
116 |
0 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
23 |
63 |
108 |
413 |
4262 |
3676 |
|
Date: 2014-10-17:
Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
18669 |
5268 |
940 |
221 |
191 |
76 |
16 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
90 |
557 |
248 |
255 |
53 |
51 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
5 |
146 |
163 |
322 |
64 |
47 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
1 |
32 |
59 |
143 |
107 |
61 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
15 |
16 |
70 |
179 |
204 |
4 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
8 |
20 |
48 |
229 |
4015 |
4474 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI near MIZ |
VCDI |
m o d e l |
Ice free |
18669 |
5346 |
1526 |
499 |
514 |
133 |
70 |
0 |
OW |
0 |
15 |
93 |
77 |
183 |
61 |
35 |
0 |
VODI |
0 |
3 |
54 |
98 |
203 |
110 |
69 |
0 |
ODI |
0 |
0 |
14 |
27 |
66 |
112 |
112 |
0 |
CDI |
0 |
0 |
9 |
14 |
28 |
119 |
254 |
4 |
VCDI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
12 |
35 |
173 |
3854 |
4474 |
|
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