Validation of sea ice concentration
Bulletin date: 2014-09-11
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2014-09-05:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
22839 |
4794 |
883 |
224 |
64 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
16 |
145 |
129 |
62 |
20 |
1 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
8 |
75 |
131 |
126 |
37 |
20 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
11 |
22 |
93 |
93 |
108 |
93 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
18 |
6 |
30 |
167 |
244 |
668 |
1 |
| VCDI |
0 |
6 |
7 |
11 |
36 |
148 |
2996 |
2721 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2014-09-09:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
22375 |
5257 |
742 |
350 |
79 |
16 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
52 |
65 |
125 |
83 |
16 |
3 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
14 |
55 |
154 |
127 |
38 |
13 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
5 |
14 |
89 |
75 |
84 |
99 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
3 |
19 |
54 |
151 |
223 |
461 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
21 |
66 |
154 |
3447 |
2538 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2014-09-11:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
21921 |
5048 |
1372 |
331 |
62 |
6 |
7 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
37 |
139 |
118 |
46 |
10 |
2 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
18 |
84 |
142 |
92 |
37 |
12 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
6 |
28 |
92 |
109 |
89 |
59 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
3 |
23 |
98 |
169 |
239 |
370 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
76 |
149 |
3484 |
2580 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
21921 |
5062 |
1432 |
355 |
75 |
10 |
7 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
27 |
105 |
113 |
38 |
10 |
2 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
14 |
61 |
138 |
102 |
37 |
19 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
7 |
29 |
81 |
98 |
90 |
55 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
2 |
19 |
94 |
173 |
243 |
402 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
68 |
140 |
3449 |
2580 |
|
Date: 2014-09-15:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
22609 |
5029 |
937 |
188 |
52 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
13 |
106 |
97 |
51 |
26 |
5 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
1 |
53 |
204 |
96 |
50 |
25 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
17 |
117 |
122 |
96 |
109 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
6 |
61 |
172 |
276 |
538 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
3 |
5 |
42 |
178 |
2847 |
2921 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
22609 |
4977 |
867 |
180 |
63 |
16 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
57 |
101 |
129 |
50 |
18 |
4 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
8 |
94 |
127 |
71 |
49 |
23 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
1 |
46 |
108 |
93 |
72 |
90 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
13 |
123 |
198 |
257 |
467 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
60 |
229 |
2940 |
2921 |
|
Date: 2014-09-17:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
22715 |
4482 |
1105 |
453 |
44 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
57 |
88 |
107 |
55 |
26 |
5 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
20 |
88 |
163 |
91 |
50 |
20 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
9 |
25 |
98 |
126 |
103 |
59 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
4 |
12 |
101 |
177 |
268 |
434 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
28 |
51 |
220 |
2974 |
2802 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
22711 |
4353 |
1029 |
428 |
45 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
4 |
120 |
64 |
87 |
57 |
21 |
3 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
81 |
114 |
123 |
87 |
51 |
21 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
12 |
86 |
119 |
90 |
90 |
65 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
6 |
25 |
168 |
197 |
234 |
339 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
25 |
68 |
270 |
3064 |
2802 |
|
Date: 2014-09-19:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
22253 |
4869 |
948 |
440 |
80 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
55 |
99 |
117 |
60 |
20 |
4 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
11 |
77 |
199 |
110 |
53 |
12 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
0 |
22 |
124 |
139 |
73 |
41 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
104 |
264 |
310 |
309 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
3 |
41 |
155 |
409 |
2687 |
2974 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
22243 |
4742 |
899 |
408 |
91 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
10 |
139 |
82 |
92 |
45 |
11 |
1 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
46 |
104 |
179 |
94 |
47 |
4 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
8 |
50 |
145 |
143 |
80 |
26 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
12 |
137 |
255 |
304 |
323 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
4 |
64 |
180 |
421 |
2699 |
2974 |
|
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