Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2014-07-31

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2014-07-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18618 5127 3305 1413 225 145 65 0
OW 0 21 102 359 208 45 14 0
VODI 0 44 40 308 262 73 33 0
ODI 0 72 15 95 270 191 228 3
CDI 0 387 30 71 177 526 2375 1258
VCDI 0 35 6 7 8 11 226 669
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-07-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21724 5316 602 910 321 100 39 0
OW 0 15 49 183 204 94 20 0
VODI 0 1 13 129 348 211 27 0
ODI 0 0 0 19 163 217 146 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 45 172 1148 342
VCDI 0 0 0 0 19 27 1916 2543
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-07-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19894 6396 1068 1085 432 156 32 0
OW 0 2 37 143 249 128 9 0
VODI 0 0 14 79 293 255 25 0
ODI 0 0 1 6 97 243 98 0
CDI 0 0 1 13 49 198 1103 172
VCDI 0 0 0 1 10 26 1777 2975
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19894 6394 1076 1085 428 151 31 0
OW 0 3 30 147 239 102 10 0
VODI 0 1 13 73 317 279 26 0
ODI 0 0 2 11 89 272 136 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 48 177 1152 79
VCDI 0 0 0 1 9 25 1689 3068

Date: 2014-08-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21057 6065 891 510 407 152 14 0
OW 0 2 52 111 107 88 9 0
VODI 0 0 7 123 233 238 12 0
ODI 0 0 1 27 115 207 59 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 35 254 591 524
VCDI 0 0 0 5 16 211 2262 2672
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21057 6058 884 505 416 186 19 0
OW 0 9 52 141 173 122 15 0
VODI 0 0 14 105 194 249 37 0
ODI 0 0 1 20 89 212 126 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 32 338 1156 92
VCDI 0 0 0 5 9 43 1594 3104

Date: 2014-08-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20615 6299 962 799 333 73 13 0
OW 0 11 28 131 229 37 5 0
VODI 0 5 12 78 304 111 12 0
ODI 0 0 3 28 95 155 46 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 43 306 431 441
VCDI 0 0 0 6 14 230 2400 2807
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20615 6299 933 799 367 86 22 0
OW 0 14 51 125 280 60 7 0
VODI 0 2 19 82 280 152 42 0
ODI 0 0 2 28 51 257 123 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 37 329 1379 197
VCDI 0 0 0 3 3 28 1334 3051

Date: 2014-08-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20936 5915 1180 639 269 76 16 0
OW 0 9 50 150 197 70 9 0
VODI 0 4 18 74 219 143 12 0
ODI 0 1 18 37 86 117 54 1
CDI 0 0 6 16 108 291 313 286
VCDI 0 0 0 6 16 214 2483 3028
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20936 5865 1187 645 312 126 29 0
OW 0 54 32 131 233 104 11 0
VODI 0 10 36 76 222 172 59 0
ODI 0 0 12 32 81 194 122 0
CDI 0 0 5 35 44 312 1591 194
VCDI 0 0 0 3 3 3 1075 3121


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